Matchup: Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Wednesday, August 20, 2025
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit
Betting Odds: Houston (+125) Detroit (-145)
On Wednesday, the Detroit Tigers (74-53) will face off against the Houston Astros (69-56) at Comerica Park. The odds for this matchup indicate Houston at +125, while Detroit is favored at -145. The over/under total for the game is set at 8 runs. The projected starting pitchers are Framber Valdez for Houston and Charlie Morton for Detroit.
The Houston Astros have a season average of 4.2 runs scored per game, ranking 21st in the league. They have accumulated a total of 530 runs, with an on-base percentage of .319. The Astros have 190 doubles and have hit 136 home runs. This season, they have recorded 507 RBIs and 1,077 hits, boasting a batting average of .254. With a slugging percentage of .401, they have struck out 988 times while drawing 364 walks.
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Houston’s pitching staff has recorded a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and has a collective WHIP of 1.22. The Astros have surrendered 151 home runs and 513 runs this season, placing them 8th in the MLB. Opposing teams have registered 975 hits against Houston (7.9 per 9 innings) leading to 482 earned runs. The team’s ERA stands at 3.89 (13th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,180 batters this year. The pitching unit has allowed 381 walks, with a FIP of 3.93.
The Astros’ bullpen boasts a save percentage of 73.5%, having entered 124 save opportunities this season. They have inherited 126 base runners, with 27.0% of those scoring. This season, they’ve appeared in critical situations 124 times, utilizing 394 pitchers from the bullpen. Currently, they have secured 36 saves but missed 13 out of 49 save chances, holding 73 holds (12th in the league).
With a defensive conversion rate of 70.5% from balls in play, the Astros rank 11th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers have recorded 3,342 putouts, 977 assists, and have made 50 errors this season, holding a .989 fielding percentage (6th in the league) and completing 81 double plays.
Framber Valdez (79-47 career record) has a FIP of 3.21, having faced 4,306 batters throughout his MLB career. He has conceded 870 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and issued 371 walks. With an ERA of 3.26 (377 earned runs), Valdez also has a WHIP of 1.193, accumulating 1,017 strikeouts over 1,040 innings pitched.
The Tigers have a slugging percentage of .423, averaging 4.83 runs per contest (8th in MLB). With 197 doubles and 394 walks, they have recorded 614 runs while hitting 163 home runs and notching 592 RBIs. They rank 4th in the league for strikeouts with 1,120 and have achieved a batting average of .250 and an on-base percentage of .318 this year.
On the mound, the Tigers have allowed 524 runs, registering a team ERA of 3.80 (476 earned runs). They have given up 141 home runs and allow 4.19 runs per 9 innings, ranking 9th in the league. Their WHIP stands at 1.223, with a FIP of 3.93 for the season. The K/BB ratio is 8.70, with 1,087 strikeouts against 368 walks. They rank 14th in total hits allowed, giving up 1,009.
In 112 save situations, the Tigers have achieved 59 holds but also suffered 16 blown saves. The bullpen has faced 50 save chances, converting 34 into saves. Their relief pitching has been in high-stress situations 105 times and has dealt with runners on base 137 times. With a 27.4% inherited score percentage, Detroit’s bullpen ranks 6th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.0%, utilizing 388 pitchers this year.
Across 10,137 innings, the Tigers have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (13th in MLB). They have made 99 double plays, recorded a .987 fielding percentage (15th in professional baseball), and achieved 1,073 assists, along with 60 errors and 3,379 putouts.
Charlie Morton has allowed 141 hits and struck out 129 batters in 140 innings pitched during his career. He has given up 76 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.418 and a FIP of 4.8. Morton’s K/BB ratio is 2.22, having faced 624 batters in total. His career win-loss record stands at 8-11, with a 4.88 ERA and 9.0 hits allowed per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Back Houston (+125)
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