Matchup: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins
Scheduled Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Houston (-122) Miami (+102)
On Tuesday, the Miami Marlins (55-55) will host the Houston Astros (62-50) at loanDepot park. The betting odds favor Houston at -122, while Miami stands at +102. The game’s over/under is set at 8 runs, with Spencer Arrighetti facing off against Cal Quantrill on the mound.
The Houston Astros have averaged 4.3 runs per game, currently ranking 20th in Major League Baseball. They have scored 478 runs collectively and possess an on-base percentage (OBP) of .321. The team has recorded 166 doubles and hit 123 home runs, tallying 456 runs batted in (RBIs) with 970 hits throughout the season. Their collective batting average stands at .257, and they have a slugging percentage of .403, striking out 875 times while earning 325 walks.
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The Astros currently hold a team ERA of 3.71, positioning them 8th in MLB. Their pitching staff has struck out 1,081 batters while allowing 129 home runs and 439 total runs (5th in MLB). With 331 walks issued and a collective FIP of 3.75, Houston’s pitching has been solid. They’ve permitted 854 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and come in with 411 earned runs. Maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.27, their overall WHIP is 1.19.
The Astros have utilized 347 relievers this season, with 26.2% of inherited runners scoring. So far, they have achieved 34 saves, but have failed on 12 of 46 save opportunities, leading to a save rate of 73.9%. They have recorded 68 holds (10th in MLB) this year, entering 115 save situations, including 78 with runners on base and 112 in high-leverage scenarios.
As a unit, the Detroit Tigers have registered 2,988 putouts, 875 assists, and 47 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .988, which ranks them 7th in the league. In 8,964 innings, the Astros have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs, placing them 11th overall in the majors.
Spencer Arrighetti (8-14 career record) has a FIP of 4.54 and has faced 671 hitters. He allowed 143 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 70 walks, recording an ERA of 4.61 (79 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.381 over 154 innings with 179 strikeouts.
The Miami Marlins have hit 105 home runs this season, driving in 456 runs. Their roster boasts 186 doubles, has drawn 332 walks, and scored a total of 475 runs. The Marlins’ on-base percentage is .316, along with a batting average of .252. Their slugging percentage sits at .396, and they average 4.32 runs per game, ranking 17th in MLB. They have struck out 870 times (25th in the league) and accumulated 946 hits.
This season, Miami’s team WHIP reaches 1.298, with a FIP of 4.06. The pitching staff ranks 20th in the league for total hits allowed, having conceded 927. Thus far, the Marlins have allowed 515 runs, with an ERA of 4.38 (476 earned runs). They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.00 (873 strikeouts against 344 walks) and allowed 116 HRs, yielding 4.73 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).
The Marlins’ bullpen has inherited 123 runners, with 31.7% scoring. They have made 119 appearances in high-pressure situations, with 85 involving runners on base. Miami’s save opportunities amount to 109, leading to 62 holds and 18 blown saves, positioning them 18th in the league with a save percentage of 60.9%. Their relief staff has made 345 appearances this season in save opportunities, successfully converting 28 saves.
Over their 8,814 innings, the Marlins have achieved a defensive efficiency rating of 69.7% (16th in MLB). They have turned 77 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB), amassing 960 assists, 57 errors, and 2,938 putouts throughout the season.
Cal Quantrill has allowed 813 hits in his professional career, recording 614 strikeouts over 816 innings. With a career record of 47-42, he holds a 4.16 ERA, allowing an average of 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 377 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.1. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 2.36, having faced 3,473 hitters to date.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Pick from Tony Sink: Bet on Houston (-122)
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