Game: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025
Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES
Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-128) New York (+106)
On Saturday, the New York Yankees (61-54) are set to face off against the Houston Astros (64-51) at the iconic Yankee Stadium. The moneyline for this matchup features the Astros at -128 and the Yankees at +106. The total runs projected for this game is set at 9, with starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Luis Gil taking the mound.
This season, the Astros have hit 179 doubles and launched 126 home runs, boasting a slugging percentage of .407. They’ve struck out 894 times while earning 332 walks, totaling an average of 4.3 runs per game, placing them 18th in MLB. With 1,005 hits and 475 RBIs to their name, Houston holds a team batting average of .258 and an on-base percentage of .322, alongside a total of 497 runs scored.
Houston’s pitching staff presents a K/BB ratio of 3.24 with a WHIP of 1.20. The Astros have allowed 135 home runs and 450 runs this season, ranking 5th in the league for total runs surrendered. They have recorded 880 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and given up 422 earned runs. Their earned run average stands at 3.72, placing them 8th in MLB, with 1,107 strikeouts to their credit. Their pitching team has issued 342 walks, with a FIP of 3.80 for the season.
Astros relief pitchers have appeared in high-pressure situations 112 times and have a total of 68 holds this season (ranking 12th in MLB). Their save rate is at 73.9%, having entered 116 save opportunities, with 34 saves recorded and 12 blown saves out of 46 chances. The bullpen has faced 110 inherited runners, of which 26.4% have scored. Over the season, 358 relievers have taken the mound.
Defensively, the Astros have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of 9,198 innings, securing 11th place in the majors. The team holds a fielding percentage of .988, ranking them 7th in professional baseball, having recorded 71 double plays along the way. The Detroit Tigers, in comparison, have made 3,066 putouts, with 898 assists and 48 errors.
Framber Valdez has pitched for 1,028 innings in his career, accumulating 1,010 strikeouts. With a career record of 79-46, Valdez’s FIP is 3.19, facing 4,249 batters. His earned run average (ERA) is 3.24, allowing 370 earned runs and maintaining a WHIP of 1.186 with 853 hits and 366 walks allowed.
The Yankees, for their part, have hit 182 home runs this season and driven in 563 runs. They’ve logged 189 doubles, taken 434 walks, and scored 587 runs, boasting an on-base percentage of .329 alongside a team batting average of .250. Their slugging percentage is .447, averaging 5.10 runs per game (3rd in baseball). This season, they have also struck out 1,007 times (6th in MLB) with 976 total hits.
New York’s pitching staff has surrendered 499 runs, with a team ERA of 4.05 after giving up 457 earned runs. They have allowed 129 home runs, averaging 4.42 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). Their WHIP stands at 1.264, while their FIP is also 4.05. The K/BB ratio for the staff is a strong 9.00 (1,019 strikeouts vs. 402 walks), ranking them 5th in the league for total hits allowed with 882.
The Yankees’ bullpen has faced 47 save opportunities, successfully converting 31 of those into saves. This gives them a 66.0% save percentage (9th in MLB) and 383 appearances from relievers so far. Their relief team has participated in 117 high-leverage situations and dealt with runners 126 times. They’ve inherited 188 runners with an inherited scoring percentage of 26.6%. This season, New York has accumulated 67 holds and recorded 16 blown saves.
In their 9,150 innings played, the Yankees maintain a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (9th in MLB). They have executed 75 double plays with a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in professional baseball), recording a total of 3,050 putouts, alongside 974 assists and 63 errors.
Throughout his MLB career, Gil has permitted 134 hits and registered 217 strikeouts across 188 innings pitched. His record stands at 16-9, with an earned run average of 3.73. Gil has allowed 78 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.255, with a FIP of 3.7, and a K/BB ratio of 2.13 after facing 804 batters.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s exciting MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Houston (-128)
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