Houston Astros vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction for 9/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Houston Astros vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction for 9/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
  • Matchup: Houston Astros vs Sacramento Athletics
  • Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
  • Venue: Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, CA
  • Broadcast: NBC Sports California
  • Betting Odds: Houston (-275) Sacramento (+220)

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The Houston Astros (84-72) are set to face off against the Sacramento Athletics (73-83) at Sutter Health Park on Tuesday. With odds reflecting Houston’s dominance at -275 compared to Sacramento’s +220, the over/under totals are positioned at 8.5. Both teams will send their aces to the mound with Cristian Javier opposing Jeffrey Springs.

MLB Predictions for Colby Thomas and Sacramento Athletics

The Astros have amassed 236 doubles and launched 170 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .398, they have recorded 1,242 strikeouts and accepted 453 walks. Averaging 4.2 runs per game, Houston ranks 23rd in the league, with a total of 626 RBIs and 1,321 hits to date. Their batting average stands at .252, coupled with 656 runs and a team OBP of .317.

The Astros currently hold an ERA of 3.85 (8th in MLB) with 1,447 strikeouts recorded. Their pitching staff has conceded 190 home runs and a total of 635 runs (9th in the league). The team has walked 487 opponents, with a FIP of 4.02 for the season. Houston has allowed 1,203 hits (averaging 7.8 per 9 innings) along with 591 earned runs, holding a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.22.

Throughout the season, the Astros have utilized 495 pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 175 base runners, with 22.9% scoring. They have accumulated 45 saves with 16 blown opportunities. The Astros’ save percentage is at 73.8%, entering 152 save situations and achieving 88 holds (14th in MLB). Relief pitchers have pitched with runners on base 125 times and made 166 high-leverage appearances.

The Houston defense has recorded 4,146 putouts, 1,225 assists, and 66 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .988, placing them 8th in the majors. With 101 double plays, they have successfully converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs across 12,438 innings, ranking 9th in professional baseball.

Javier holds a career win-loss record of 35-21, showcasing a FIP of 3.59 while facing 2,196 batters. He has permitted 391 hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) and recorded 218 free passes. His ERA is 3.65 (216 earned runs allowed), and his career WHIP stands at 1.142 over 533 innings pitched, yielding 594 strikeouts.

The Sacramento Athletics have a slugging percentage of .433, averaging 4.57 runs per game (12th in MLB). They’ve notched 280 doubles, drawn 483 walks, and scored 709 runs. This season, Sacramento has hit 214 home runs, driving in 686 RBIs, while striking out 1,341 times (10th in MLB) with a total of 1,345 hits. Their OBP is .319, and their batting average stands at .253.

On the pitching side, the Athletics have allowed 778 runs, with an ERA of 4.68 (715 earned runs). They have given up 215 home runs and allowed 5.09 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The team’s WHIP is 1.359, with a FIP of 4.69 and a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,268 strikeouts versus 544 walks). They rank 23rd in the league for total hits allowed, allowing 1,325 hits.

In 120 save situations, the Athletics have recorded 65 holds and experienced 20 blown saves. They have used relief pitchers in 55 save scenarios, achieving 35 saves. Their bullpen has appeared 139 times in high-leverage situations and 154 times with runners on base. Sacramento’s bullpen has inherited 27.6% of 225 inherited runners successfully scoring and boasts a save rate of 63.6%, sending 489 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

Defensively, the Athletics have executed 105 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB). This season, they have 1,161 assists, 83 errors, and a season total of 4,127 putouts. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.8% across 12,381 innings (17th in MLB).

Springs has a career record of 33-23, posting a 3.66 ERA and allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.17, having faced 2,013 professional hitters. He has relinquished 195 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.237 and a FIP of 3.6. In his MLB career, Springs has given up 437 hits while achieving 494 strikeouts over 479 innings.

Which team will prevail in this matchup tonight, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?

Selection: Go with Sacramento (+220)

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Pick: Sacramento Athletics (+220)
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