Matchup: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers
Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Broadcast: Rangers Sports Network
Betting Odds: Houston (-275) Texas (+220)
The Texas Rangers, currently at 72-69, will face off against the Houston Astros, who hold a record of 77-64, at Globe Life Field this Sunday. The betting line favors the Astros at -275, with the Rangers at +220. The over/under for this game is set at 9 runs, featuring starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Patrick Corbin.
The Houston Astros have hit a total of 216 doubles and launched 156 home runs this season. With a team slugging percentage of .401, they have recorded 1,116 strikeouts and drawn 419 walks. Averaging 4.2 runs per game places them 25th in the league. They’ve accumulated 565 RBIs and 1,205 hits, boasting a team batting average of .253 and scoring 593 runs while achieving an on-base percentage of .319.
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The Astros have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.02, with a collective WHIP of 1.22 from their pitching staff. They’ve allowed 173 home runs and 582 total runs this season, ranking 9th in MLB. Houston pitchers have surrendered 1,096 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 544 earned runs, resulting in a season ERA of 3.90 (12th overall), while striking out 1,337 batters. Their FIP stands at 3.99 for the year, coupled with 442 walks offered to opposing hitters.
The Astros’ bullpen has recorded a save percentage of 74.1% across 136 save opportunities. This season, they’ve inherited 151 runners, with 23.8% of them scoring. Their relievers have entered games 108 times with baserunners on and have seen 147 high-leverage situations. A total of 448 relief pitchers have been deployed this season, securing 79 holds (13th in the league) and achieving 40 saves while failing to convert 14 out of 54 chances.
Defensively, the Astros have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs over 11,310 innings, positioning them 9th in the league. The team has logged 3,770 putouts this season, alongside 1,111 assists and 58 errors, yielding a .988 fielding percentage (6th in MLB) and executing 90 double plays.
Valdez has pitched 1,057 innings, collecting 1,032 strikeouts throughout his career. With a career win-loss record of 80-49, he maintains a FIP of 3.27 after facing 4,380 batters, boasting an ERA of 3.32 (390 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.197. He has allowed 888 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and recorded 378 walks.
The Texas Rangers have launched 157 home runs this season and tallied 584 RBIs, alongside 216 doubles while drawing 426 walks. With an on-base percentage of .306, their batting average rests at .238, and they average 4.30 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have struck out 1,147 times (18th in the league) and accumulated 1,128 hits.
With a team WHIP of 1.170, the Rangers possess a FIP of 3.92. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40 (1,165 strikeouts against 412 walks), ranking 2nd in MLB for total hits allowed at 1,052. They’ve permitted 149 home runs and surrender 3.71 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Texas pitching staff has given up 516 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.45 (479 earned runs allowed).
The Texas bullpen’s inherited runner scoring rate is 32.7%, having aided 205 inherited runners this season. They have appeared 154 times in high-leverage scenarios and 143 times with runners on base. In 133 save scenarios, the Rangers have registered 70 holds, along with 26 blown saves. Their save percentage of 55.2% ranks 26th in MLB, dispatching 440 relief pitchers throughout the season and converting 32 saves out of 58 chances.
Across 11,262 innings, the Rangers boast a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (1st in baseball). Their defense has turned 110 double plays and holds a .992 fielding percentage (1st in MLB), with 1,208 assists and 42 errors alongside 3,754 putouts this season.
Corbin, holding a 110-140 record in his career, features a 4.51 ERA and allows 9.6 hits per 9 innings. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.96, having faced 8,724 batters. Corbin has yielded 1,017 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.371 and a FIP of 4.4. Over his career, he’s given up 2,158 hits while achieving a strikeout total of 1,843 across 2,028 innings.
Who will secure the win in this thrilling MLB matchup, covering the spread or clinching the moneyline?
Pick by Josh Schonwald: Bet on Houston (-275)
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