Matchup: Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy
Event Date: Friday, July 25, 2025
Venue: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Broadcasting: MLS Season Pass
The Houston Dynamo (7-6-11) face off against the LA Galaxy (3-7-14) at Shell Energy Stadium in Houston, TX this Friday. The current odds favor the Dynamo at -182, while LA Galaxy stands at +150. The total goals set for betting is at 3. Expected to guard the net are Jonathan Bond for Houston and Novak Micovic for LA.
Houston has conceded 39 goals this season, averaging 1.63 goals against per 90 minutes, facing 101 shots on target. They have recorded 8 clean sheets, yielding a clean sheet rate of 33.3%. With 64 yellow cards and 2 red cards issued, Houston ranks 22nd for expected goals (xG) with 30.2, while their expected goals against (xGA) stand at 32.6. Currently, the team has an average of 1.13 points per match (totaling 27 points) and sits 19th in MLS with 20 assists. Their goal differential is -9, scoring 30 while allowing 39. The Dynamo have made 61 saves, achieving a save percentage of 61.4% this season.
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Meanwhile, the LA Galaxy have accumulated a total of 28 goals, with their expected goals at 30.9. They concede an average of 2.00 goals per 90 minutes and have made 61 saves, securing 2 clean sheets. LA Galaxy’s save percentage is at 55.6% (108 shots on target faced), placing them 29th in the MLS with just 16 points. They rank last in goals conceded with 48 and have a goal differential of -20. Their clean sheet percentage is a modest 8.3%, and they have received 55 yellow cards throughout the season. On average, the Galaxy secure only 0.7 points per match, with 17 assists and 1 red card.
In goal for Houston, Jonathan Bond will be the key defender. Throughout his career, Bond has amassed 9,339 minutes, recording 326 saves. His goals allowed average is 1.68 per 90 minutes (174 total goals conceded) and boasts a save percentage of 65.5%. The English goalkeeper has faced 498 shots and has a career record of 38 wins, 29 losses, and 38 draws, along with 20 clean sheets, equating to a clean sheet rate of 19.3%.
On the other side, Novak Micovic is anticipated to guard the goal for LA. Throughout his professional timeline, Micovic has conceded 30 goals, achieving 40 saves in 17 starts. His save percentage stands at 57.1%, and his clean sheet record is at 17.6%. He averages 1.76 goals allowed per 90 minutes, holding a 3-5-9 career record. Micovic has achieved 3 clean sheets with 70 shots faced across 1,530 minutes.
Ezequiel Ponce emerges as a pivotal player for Houston. He has registered 1 assist and accumulated 25 points over his professional career, scoring 12 goals in 2,576 minutes on the pitch. Ponce has been featured in 31 starting lineups, averaging a goal every 90 minutes at a rate of 0.43.
For LA Galaxy, Gabriel Chaves will be a crucial asset that opposing teams must strategize against. He maintains an average of 0.41 goals per 90 minutes, having started in 51 professional matches. The Brazilian forward has played 4,599 minutes, netting 21 goals, and accumulating 54 career points, assisting teammates 12 times.
Who will prevail in tonight’s match against the spread?
Prediction by Tony Sink: Bet on LA Galaxy (-182)
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