Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Forecast, 1/29/2026 Analysis and Selection

Home » Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Forecast, 1/29/2026 Analysis and Selection

  • Matchup: Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks
  • Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
  • Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network

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The Atlanta Hawks (23-25) aim to overcome the Houston Rockets (28-16) at State Farm Arena this Thursday.

NBA totals betting Kevin Durant Houston Rockets

In their previous matchup, the Rockets triumphed over the Grizzlies with a final score of 108-99. Houston committed 13 personal fouls, while Memphis racked up 21. The Rockets managed to sink 7 of their 37 attempts from three-point range. Memphis recorded an 82.4% free throw success rate, converting 14 of 17 attempts. The Grizzlies achieved 52 rebounds (21 offensive, 31 defensive) and tallied 3 blocks. They also provided 26 assists and stole the ball 9 times. Defensively, the Rockets limited their opponents to a shooting percentage of 37.1%, allowing them to shoot 39 out of 105. Houston dished out 29 assists, forced 13 turnovers, and captured 9 steals. The Rockets collected a total of 57 rebounds, with 16 coming offensively. At the charity stripe, they converted 15 of 20 for a 75.0% shooting rate. Houston concluded the game with a field goal percentage of 44.6% (41 of 92) and made 11 of 37 attempts from beyond the arc.

Kevin Durant played a pivotal role in the last match, scoring 33 points on 11 of 24 shooting. He logged 37 minutes and secured 8 rebounds, achieving a shooting percentage of 45.8% from the field while also distributing 2 assists.

The Rockets enter tonight’s matchup with a season record of 28-16. They average 116.7 points per game (12th in the league) with a shooting percentage of 47.8% from the floor. Houston has successfully connected on 37.0% of their three-point attempts (503 out of 1,361) and boasts a free throw percentage of 75.4%. As a unit, they average 49.0 rebounds per game and have compiled a total of 1,099 assists this season, ranking 29th in assists. They turn the ball over an average of 15.6 times and commit 18.9 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Rockets manage to induce 13.5 turnovers per game while drawing 21.0 personal fouls. They rank second in the league by allowing a total of 1,080 assists to opponents this season. On the defensive end, Houston permits a field goal percentage of 46.1% (1,790 out of 3,886) and gives up an average of 39.0 rebounds per game. Opponents convert 34.7% of their three-point attempts and the Rockets rank 4th in points allowed per game at 110.5.

In their most recent game, the Hawks secured a 132-116 victory over the Pacers. Atlanta allowed Indiana to claim 42 rebounds (7 offensive), completed 28.6% of their three-point attempts (10 of 35), and shot 20 of 25 (80.0%) from the free throw line. The Hawks let the Pacers shoot 43 out of 93 attempts from the floor (46.2%). In contrast, Atlanta executed 49 of 98 from the field, equating to a 50.0% shooting rate. Moreover, the Hawks hit 18 of their 43 three-point shots, achieving 41.9%. They capitalized on their free throw opportunities, hitting 16 for a remarkable 94.1% success rate. The Pacers managed 12 fouls in total, leading to 17 free throw attempts for the Hawks. Atlanta turned the ball over 14 times while forcing 11 steals and gathering 37 defensive rebounds alongside 9 offensive ones, totaling 46 rebounds for the matchup.

CJ McCollum emerged as a key contributor for the Hawks, netting 23 points in 28 minutes on the court, alongside 7 assists. He shot 60.0% (9 of 15) from the floor and took down 8 rebounds.

Currently, the Hawks hold a record of 23-25 for the season. They average 20.0 personal fouls per game and shoot 77.6% from the free throw line. Atlanta leads the league with 31.1 assists per game and turns the ball over 14.8 times. This season, they have accumulated 5,652 points (117.8 per game) while pulling down an average of 42.2 rebounds per game. The Hawks’ shooting accuracy from the field stands at 47.5%, placing them 10th in the NBA.

Defensively, Atlanta is ranked 25th regarding points allowed per game at 118.7. They force 16.0 turnovers nightly and permit teams to shoot 47.6% from the field, ranking 23rd in the league. Additionally, the Hawks allow 35.6% from three-pointers (639 of 1,797) and opponents convert 79.9% of their free throw attempts. They concede 27.6 assists and 46.2 rebounds each game, which ranks 24th and 26th in the league, respectively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NBA showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Back Houston

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Pick: Houston Rockets
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