- Matchup: Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts
- Event Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: Colts favored by 4.5 points
- Over/Under Total: 44.5 points
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The Indianapolis Colts (8-3) are set to host the Houston Texans (6-5) at Lucas Oil Stadium this Sunday. The Colts are currently 4.5-point favorites, with the game total pegged at 44.5 points.
The Houston Texans enter this matchup with a 6-5 record, fresh off a victory against the Buffalo Bills, winning 23-19. Woody Marks led the Texans’ rushing attack with 16 carries, accumulating 74 yards (average of 4.6 yards per carry). Christian Kirk recorded 54 receiving yards on 5 catches, averaging 10.8 yards per reception. Quarterback Davis Mills completed 16 of 30 passes for 153 yards and 2 touchdowns, achieving a quarterback rating of 90 with no interceptions. On defense, the Texans allowed 143 rushing yards on 24 attempts (6.0 yards per carry) and surrendered 183 passing yards on 24 completions, resulting in a 70.6% completion rate. Overall, Houston managed 56 offensive plays totaling 261 yards, while their ground game totaled 108 rushing yards on 26 attempts, averaging 4.2 yards per carry.

Defensively, the Texans have given up 1,893 passing yards, ranking 3rd in the league. They allow 172.1 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 58.9%. So far this season, they have allowed 1,014 rushing yards, with 10 touchdowns through the air and 9 on the ground. Houston is top of the league, allowing 264.3 yards per game, with an average of 4.1 yards per carry and 92.2 rushing yards per game. Furthermore, they rank 2nd overall in points allowed, giving up an average of just 16.5 points per game.
The Indianapolis Colts come into this game with an 8-3 record. In their last outing, they suffered a narrow defeat against the Kansas City Chiefs, ending the game at 23-20. Jonathan Taylor carried the ball 16 times for 58 yards, averaging 3.6 yards per carry. Michael Pittman Jr. was the standout receiver, catching 5 passes for a total of 27 yards (5.4 yards per reception). Quarterback Daniel Jones threw for 181 yards, completing 19 of 31 attempts, with 2 touchdowns and a quarterback rating of 99. He did not throw any interceptions, averaging 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Indianapolis’ defense allowed 41 rushing attempts for 148 yards (3.6 yards per carry), while the passing defense yielded 346 yards on 29 completions from 46 attempts, resulting in a 63.0% completion rate. Overall, the Colts tallied 255 total yards on 50 plays (5.1 yards per play) and averaged 3.9 yards per carry, finishing with 74 rushing yards on 19 attempts.
Offensively, the Indianapolis Colts average 384.0 total yards per game, ranking them 2nd in the NFL. They have a solid running game, averaging 138.8 rushing yards per outing, having rushed for a total of 1,527 yards. The Colts have thrown 7 interceptions and surrendered 5 fumbles, while achieving 137 first downs. Their offense has incurred 607 yards in penalties, placing them 19th in aiding opponent drives. Through the air, Indianapolis has accumulated 2,697 yards this season, averaging 245.2 passing yards per game, ranked 7th in the league. The Colts are leading the league in scoring, averaging 31.0 points per game.
Defensively, the Colts have allowed 16 passing touchdowns and an average of 245.4 passing yards per game, placing them 28th in that category. They’ve also conceded a total of 1,071 rushing yards (97.4 yards per game) along with 9 rushing touchdowns this season. The defense has produced a total of 16 takeaways (5 fumble recoveries and 11 interceptions), allowing 229 points overall. The Colts’ defense has participated in 723 plays, which ranks 28th in professional football. They allow 20.8 points per game, positioning them 9th in the league.
Who will emerge victorious in this Texans vs Colts matchup?
Prediction: Bet on the Texans +4.5
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