Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Predictions and Odds for UFC Mexico on 02/28/2026

Home » Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Predictions and Odds for UFC Mexico on 02/28/2026

  • Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas: A Highly Anticipated UFC Showdown
  • UFC Mexico: Fight Night Overview
  • Arena CDMX in Mexico City: The Venue
  • Saturday, February 28, 2026: Save the Date

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Imanol Rodriguez is set to clash with Kevin Borjas at UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The betting odds indicate Rodriguez as the favorite at -400, while Borjas is listed at +330.

Imanol “Himan” Rodriguez aims to extend his undefeated record to 7-0-0. At 26 years old, he competes in the flyweight division, weighing in at 125 lbs and standing 5′ 4″. His reach measures 64″. In contrast, Kevin “El Gallo Negro” Borjas, 28, checks in at 5′ 5″ and also weighs 125 lbs, bringing a record of 10-4-0 to the octagon. He has a reach of 68″. When it comes to striking stats, Rodriguez lands 9.09 significant strikes per minute, while Borjas averages 4.19. Rodriguez boasts an impressive striking accuracy of 58%, compared to Borjas’s 44%. In terms of defense, Rodriguez absorbs 2.73 significant strikes per minute, while Borjas faces an average of 5.74. Rodriguez successfully defends against 60% of his opponents’ strikes, while Borjas blocks 49% of incoming shots.

UFC Picks: Kevin Borjas Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets
Event Imanol Rodriguez Kevin Borjas
Opening Odds -400 +330
Current Record 6-0-0 10-4-0
Average Fight Duration 2:12 13:19
Height 5′ 4″ 5′ 5″
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 64″ 68″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.09 4.19
Striking Accuracy 58% 44%

In the wrestling department, Imanol Rodriguez demonstrates superior grappling skills, averaging 0.90 takedowns per 15 minutes. He completes 15% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 15% of his opponents’ takedown efforts. Meanwhile, Borjas finishes 15% of his takedown attempts and averts 71% of takedown attempts from opponents. In terms of submissions, Rodriguez averages 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds, while Borjas is more active, attempting 0.7 submissions over the same period.

During his last bout, Imanol Rodriguez faced Roque Conceicao, securing a victory with a head strike in round 1. Conceicao managed to land 6 out of 15 strikes, while Rodriguez connected on 20 of his 34 total strikes, achieving a striking accuracy of 58%. Conceicao’s significant strikes included 2 of 11 directed at the head. Overall, Rodriguez hit 17 out of 30 significant strikes aimed at the head, with 100% of Conceicao’s and 45% of Rodriguez’s strikes landing from a distance.

Kevin Borjas last fought against Sumudaerji, experiencing a unanimous decision loss in round 3. Borjas was able to connect on 62% of his significant strikes attempted from distance, while Sumudaerji achieved 91%. In that match, Borjas landed 16 out of 44 significant strikes, with 7 of those aimed at the head. Meanwhile, Sumudaerji connected on 73 out of 129 significant strikes, landing 33 of 75 to the head. Overall, Sumudaerji outperformed Borjas with total strikes, landing 91 out of 150 attempted, compared to Borjas’s 23 out of 51.

Other Noteworthy Bouts to Watch

Don’t miss the exciting matchup between Santiago Luna and Angel Pacheco. Luna aims to maintain his perfect record of 7-0-0. The 21-year-old competes at 135 lbs and stands 5′ 9″ with a reach of 74″. Pacheco, competing at the same weight class, measures 5′ 8″ and comes in with a record of 7-3-0. In takedown statistics, Luna performs 0.60 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Pacheco manages 0.30 takedowns every 3 rounds. In striking, Luna excels with an average of 5.36 strikes per minute and a striking accuracy of 37%, while Pacheco averages 9.50 strikes per minute and connects on 39% of his attempted strikes.

For fans of thrilling fights, keep an eye on Jose Daniel Medina, who will face Ryan Gandra. Gandra enters the Octagon with a record of 8-1-0. At 30 years old, he weighs 185 lbs and measures 6′ 1″ with a reach of 74″. Meanwhile, Daniel Medina, standing 6′ 0″ and also weighing 185 lbs, has a record of 11-6-0. Concerning wrestling, Gandra successfully defends against 85% of opponent takedown attempts and executes takedowns on 15% of his attempts. Medina completes 33% of his takedown attempts and defends against 27% of his opponent’s attempts. In striking exchanges, Gandra absorbs 2.11 strikes per minute while landing an impressive 11.23, compared to Medina’s absorption of 5.07 and output of 2.16 strikes per minute.

Who will emerge victoriously in tonight’s UFC bouts against the spread?

Prediction: Back Imanol Rodriguez (-400) for the Win

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Pick: Imanol Rodriguez (-400) for the Win
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