Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Analysis, 8/7/2025 WNBA Forecast, Advice and Lines

Home » Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Analysis, 8/7/2025 WNBA Forecast, Advice and Lines

Matchup: Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Thursday, August 7, 2025

Venue: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Broadcast: YouTube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (18-11) will face off against the Indiana Fever (17-13) at Footprint Center this Thursday.

In their latest matchup, the Indiana Fever squared off against the Los Angeles Sparks and unfortunately suffered a defeat, ending with a score of 100-91. The Fever managed a field goal percentage of 44.2% (34 out of 77 attempts) and sank 12 of 33 from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, they succeeded with 11 out of 13 shots, translating to 84.6%. In terms of rebounds, Indiana grabbed 27 boards, including 10 offensive. They also recorded 23 assists, forced 11 turnovers, and notched 4 steals. Defensively, the Fever allowed their opponents to shoot an impressive 56.1% from the floor, with the Sparks making 37 of 66 shots. Indiana’s opponents dished out 7 assists and managed 1 steal in this contest. The Sparks also secured a total of 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and recorded 7 blocks. They finished shooting 86.7% from the free throw line, converting 13 out of 15 attempts, and made 13 out of 26 attempts from three-point range.

WNBA Picks: Satou Sabally Mercury Predictions Best Bet Odds

Kelsey Mitchell was a standout in this matchup, scoring 34 points on 11 of 19 shooting. She played 31 minutes and also contributed 2 rebounds, finishing the night with a shooting percentage of 57.9% and tallying 6 assists.

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The Indiana Fever enter this encounter with a record of 17-13 for the season. They are averaging 85.3 points per game, which ranks them 4th in the WNBA, and maintaining a shooting percentage of 45.6% from the field. Behind the arc, Indiana is converting 34.1% of their attempts (252 of 740) and 77.7% from the free throw line. Collectively, the Fever are averaging 33.8 rebounds per game and have logged 619 assists this season, placing them 5th in the WNBA for assists. They are averaging 13.0 turnovers per game while committing 19.4 fouls on average. Defensively, Indiana forces their opponents into 13.9 turnovers and commits 19.8 personal fouls per game. They allow 31.4% shooting from three-point range and rank 8th in the league in PPG allowed at 81.4. Opponents shoot 43.7% from the field against the Fever (416 of 594) and they give up 32.9 rebounds per game, currently ranking 3rd in assists given up with a total of 552 this season.

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In their previous match, the Phoenix Mercury emerged victorious with a score of 82-66 against the Connecticut Sun. The Mercury secured 31 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 39. However, they did turn the ball over 18 times while recording 9 steals in the game. The Sun incurred 18 fouls, sending the Mercury to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 16 attempts at a rate of 84.2%. From beyond the arc, Phoenix made 8 of 20 attempts for a 40.0% shooting average. Overall, the Mercury shot 29 for 64 from the field, achieving a shooting percentage of 45.3%. Defensively, the Mercury held the Sun to a field goal percentage of 34.7%, allowing them to sink 25 of 72 attempts. They limited the Sun to just 20.0% from three-point range, making 5 of 25 attempts, and finished a stellar 11 of 12 at the free throw line, or 91.7%. In terms of rebounding, Phoenix allowed Connecticut to grab a total of 35, with 12 on the offensive side.

Satou Sabally was instrumental for the Mercury, shooting 9 of 12 for a field goal percentage of 75.0%, while also contributing 6 rebounds. Sabally tallied 23 points in 29 minutes of play and recorded 1 assist for the matchup.

The Phoenix Mercury currently boast a record of 18-11 for the year. Offensively, they are shooting 43.5% from the field, placing them 7th in the WNBA. The Mercury have accumulated 2,416 points this season (averaging 83.3 per game) and grab 34.3 rebounds per game. They offer 20.7 assists on average, ranking 5th in the league, while turning the ball over 12.6 times per game. Moreover, the Mercury commit 18.5 fouls per game and convert 77.9% from the free throw line. Defensively, they rank 5th in the WNBA for PPG allowed, giving up 80.4. Their opponents average 19.9 assists and 35.4 rebounds against them, ranking 7th and 9th in the league, respectively. Phoenix allows 33.5% shooting on three-pointers (237 of 707) and their opponents are converting 81.7% from the free throw line. They force 15.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.5% from the floor, holding the 4th position in the WNBA.

Who will prevail in tonight’s WNBA clash against the spread?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Indiana

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