Matchup: James Madison Dukes vs Liberty Flames
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
Venue: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
Broadcast: ESPNU
Betting Lines: Flames (+10.0)
Total Points: 49
The Liberty Flames (1-2) are set to face off against the James Madison Dukes (1-1) at Williams Stadium on Saturday, September 20, 2025. The Flames are entering this game as 10-point underdogs, with the over/under established at 49 points.
In their recent outing, the James Madison Dukes recorded a 1-1 season, suffering a defeat against the Louisville Cardinals with a score of 28-14. During the game, James Madison allowed 113 rushing yards on 30 attempts, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. The Dukes conceded 13 completions out of 23 attempts, totaling 151 passing yards and a completion rate of 56.5%. Overall, they executed 78 plays for a cumulative yardage of 263 yards, while their rushing effort netted 126 yards on 47 carries, averaging 2.7 yards per attempt.
On offense, the James Madison Dukes are averaging 29.5 points per game and rank 25th nationally with an average of 219.5 rushing yards per game. Throughout the season, the Dukes have accumulated 721 total yards. Touchdown distribution shows 3 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns, while they have achieved 42 first downs but have committed 18 penalties totaling 170 yards. The Dukes have also turned the ball over 4 times.
Defensively, James Madison ranks 57th in FBS, allowing 19.0 points per game. They give up an average of 2.9 yards per rush and 88.5 rushing yards per game, amounting to 177 rushing yards permitted over 2 games. In passing defense, they allow 235 yards, ranking them 5th nationally, with an average of 117.5 passing yards permitted per game and a completion percentage against of 46.9%. Overall, they yield 206.0 offensive yards per game, placing them 7th in college football, with 2 passing touchdowns and 1 rushing touchdown allowed this season.
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The Liberty Flames enter this clash with a record of 1-2, facing a setback last game against the Bowling Green Falcons, ending 23-13. Liberty managed a rushing average of 3.9 yards per attempt, accumulating 152 yards on 39 carries. They finished the game with 346 total yards from 64 plays, averaging 5.4 yards per play. Defensively, Liberty’s secondary allowed a completion rate of 50.0%, giving up 146 yards on 16 completions from 32 attempts. The Flames conceded 158 rushing yards on 36 attempts, averaging 4.4 yards per carry.
The Liberty Flames are averaging 423.7 total yards per game, ranking 53rd in Division 1. Their offense has incurred 118 hard-fought yards in penalties over 14 infractions, placing them 98th in the nation for mistakes. They are achieving 181.7 rushing yards per game, totaling 545 rushing yards for the season. The Flames have thrown 3 interceptions and allowed 3 fumbles to be recovered by their opponents, securing 59 first downs. Offensively, Liberty holds an average of 21.7 points per game, ranking 100th in Division 1. They have accumulated 726 passing yards this season, averaging 242.0 yards per game, putting them at the 58th spot in the country.
On the defensive side, the Flames are surrendering 21.3 points per game, ranking them 67th nationally. They have allowed 680 rushing yards (226.7 yards per game) and 6 rushing touchdowns throughout the campaign. Liberty’s pass defense yielded 1 passing touchdown and an average of 110.0 yards permitted per game, ranking them 9th in Division 1. They have participated in 193 defensive plays, which positions them at 69th in Division 1, totaling 1 forced fumble and 1 interception this season, yielding 64 points overall.
Which team will emerge victorious in this Dukes vs Flames college football showdown?
Tony’s Prediction: Take the Dukes -10.0
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