- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: CBS
- Point Spread Odds: Broncos (+3.5)
- Total Over/Under: 44.5
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The Denver Broncos (8-2) are set to face the Kansas City Chiefs (5-4) at Empower Field at Mile High this Sunday. Betting lines indicate Denver as 3.5-point underdogs. The total is set at 44.5.
The Kansas City Chiefs enter this game with a record of 5-4. In their last outing, the Chiefs faced the Buffalo Bills but fell short, losing 28-21. Running back Kareem Hunt led the ground game with 11 carries for 49 yards (averaging 4.5 yards per attempt). Wide receiver Rashee Rice stood out in the passing game with an impressive average of 20.0 yards per reception, totaling 80 yards on 4 catches. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 15 of 34 passes for 250 yards, finishing with a quarterback rating of 57.2 and throwing one interception. On defense, Kansas City gave up 141 rushing yards on 35 attempts, averaging 4.0 yards per rush. The Chiefs allowed the Bills 23 completions out of 26 attempts for a total of 263 yards, resulting in an impressive completion percentage of 88.5%. Overall, Kansas City ran 54 offensive plays, amassing 305 total yards, and recorded 79 rushing yards on 20 attempts, averaging 4.0 yards per carry.
When it comes to scoring, the Chiefs average 26.1 points per game. They rank 12th in the league with an average of 121.2 rushing yards, having accumulated a total of 3,331 yards this season. Kansas City has recorded 117 first downs and committed 59 penalties for 508 yards, alongside 5 turnovers (5 interceptions, no fumbles). In terms of touchdowns, they’ve achieved 17 through the air and 11 on the ground.
Defensively, the Chiefs have allowed a total of 1,685 passing yards, ranking them 5th in the league. They concede an average of 187.2 passing yards per game with a completion percentage against of 71.5%. Overall, the Chiefs have given up 941 rushing yards this season, allowing 9 passing touchdowns and an equal number of rushing touchdowns. They rank 6th overall, giving up an average of 291.8 yards per game and 17.7 points, positioning them 4th best defensively.
The Broncos enter this matchup boasting an 8-2 record. In their prior game, they clinched a narrow 10-7 victory against the Las Vegas Raiders. Running back J.K. Dobbins was pivotal, carrying the ball 18 times for 77 yards (4.3 yards per carry). In the aerial attack, Pat Bryant made a notable reception, hauling in 1 catch for 43 yards (averaging 43.0 yards per catch). Quarterback Bo Nix finished with 150 yards on 16 of 28 passing, with 1 touchdown, a QB rating of 54.2, and 2 interceptions. Denver’s run defense allowed 74 yards on 25 rushing attempts (3.0 yards per carry), while their pass defense permitted a 59.3% completion rate, yielding 114 yards on 16 of 27 passes. On the entire game, Denver earned 220 yards while running 55 plays (4.0 yards per play) and averaged 3.1 yards per carry for a total of 84 rushing yards on 27 attempts.
Offensively, the Denver Broncos are averaging 334.6 total yards per game, placing them 13th in the NFL. They produce an average of 128.6 rushing yards per game, accumulating 1,286 yards overall. The Broncos have thrown 8 interceptions and lost 4 fumbles this season while tallying 107 first downs. They have given away 736 yards due to penalties, ranking 1st in the league in this category. This season, they have 2,060 passing yards, with an average of 206.0 yards per game, positioning them 18th in the league. In terms of their scoring capabilities, the Broncos rank 17th overall, averaging 23.5 points per game.
Defensively, they are giving up an average of 17.3 points per game, securing 3rd place in the league. The Broncos have allowed 8 passing touchdowns along with 179.5 passing yards per game, ranking 6th in the NFL. They’ve permitted a total of 912 rushing yards (91.2 yards per game), allowing 7 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has participated in 624 plays, putting them 30th in the league. Additionally, they have created 8 turnovers (3 forced fumbles and 5 interceptions), giving up 173 total points cumulatively.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s Chiefs vs. Broncos matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Chiefs -3.5
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