- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Monday, October 6, 2025
- Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
- Broadcast: ABC
- Betting Line: Jaguars (+3.5)
- Point Total: 46.5
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On Monday night, the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1) will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at EverBank Stadium. Kansas City enters this game favored by 3.5 points, with an over/under set at 46.5.
Currently, the Kansas City Chiefs hold a 2-2 record for the season. In their most recent game, they secured a victory against the Baltimore Ravens, winning 37-20. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 25 of 37 passes for 270 yards, throwing 4 touchdown passes and achieving a quarterback rating of 124.8, without an interception. Tight end Travis Kelce recorded 48 yards on 5 catches, averaging 9.6 yards per reception. Running back Kareem Hunt led the ground attack with 13 carries for 34 yards (2.6 yards per attempt). The Chiefs executed a total of 69 plays, accumulating 382 yards. They ran the ball 32 times for a combined 118 yards, averaging 3.7 yards per attempt. Conversely, Kansas City’s defense allowed 166 rushing yards on 17 attempts (9.8 yards per carry), and surrendered 23 completions on 33 passes for 194 yards, with a completion percentage of 69.7%.
This season, the Chiefs have accumulated a total of 1,329 yards. They have achieved 44 first downs and incurred 29 penalties resulting in 241 yards. For touchdowns, the Chiefs have recorded 7 through the air and 3 on the ground, with just 1 turnover so far. Offensively, they average 110.5 rushing yards per game, ranking them 19th in the league, while scoring an average of 24.3 points per game.
Defensively, Kansas City ranks 8th, allowing an average of 19.0 points per game. They give up 4.9 yards per rushing attempt, totaling 127.0 rushing yards per game. In terms of passing yards, the Chiefs have permitted 743 yards this season, placing them 8th in the NFL, allowing 185.8 passing yards per game with a completion rate of 66.9%. Overall, their defense allows 312.8 yards per contest, positioning them 14th in the league, with 4 touchdowns allowed in passing and rushing combined. They have permitted 508 rushing yards across 4 games this season.
The Jaguars are coming off a successful outing that puts them at 3-1 this season. In their last game, they triumphed over the San Francisco 49ers, winning 26-21. Running back Travis Etienne delivered an impressive performance with 19 carries for 124 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Tight end Brenton Strange was a key offensive asset, securing 6 receptions for 45 yards (7.5 yards per catch). Quarterback Trevor Lawrence, with 1 touchdown, finished the game with 174 yards on 21 of 31 attempts and a QB rating of 92.7, avoiding interceptions and averaging 5.6 yards per throw. The Jaguars allowed 24 rushing attempts for 83 yards (3.5 yards per attempt), while their passing defense yielded a completion rate of 57.9%, giving up 306 yards on 22 of 38 attempts. Overall, Jacksonville completed 63 plays for 325 yards at an average of 5.2 yards per play, rushing for a total of 151 yards on 32 attempts with an average of 4.7 yards per carry.
On average, the Jacksonville Jaguars register 348.5 total yards per game, ranking 10th overall in the NFL. Their ground game averages 144.0 rushing yards per contest, contributing to a total of 576 rushing yards so far. They have recorded 4 interceptions with no lost fumbles and achieved 42 first downs. However, the Jaguars’ offense has also faced 38 penalties, conceding 308 total yards, ranking them worst in aiding their opponents. In the air, they have thrown for a total of 818 yards this season, averaging 204.5 yards per game, placing them 19th in the league. Their scoring average sits at 24.0 points per game, ranking them 17th overall.
Defensively, the Jaguars allow an average of 18.0 points per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. They have conceded 7 passing touchdowns and allow 233.5 passing yards per game, ranking 24th in the league. On the ground, Jacksonville has given up a total of 331 rushing yards (82.8 yards per game), alongside 1 rushing touchdown this season. Their defense has been on the field for 248 plays, positioning them 22nd in the league, while forcing 13 turnovers (4 fumbles and 9 interceptions) throughout the season. Overall, they have allowed a total of 72 points.
Who will take home the win in the Chiefs vs. Jaguars NFL face-off tonight?
Recommendation: Choose the Jaguars +3.5
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