Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
Scheduled Date: Monday, September 8, 2025
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Broadcasting: CLEGuardians.TV
Betting Odds: Kansas City (-144) Cleveland (+120)
On Monday, Progressive Field will host a thrilling matchup between the Cleveland Guardians (69-70) and the Kansas City Royals (71-69). With Kansas City favored at -144 and Cleveland at +120, this game has a total set at 9 runs. The projected starting pitchers for this contest will be Ryan Bergert and Slade Cecconi.
As a team, the Royals have hit 244 doubles and launched 136 home runs this season. Kansas City boasts a slugging percentage of .393, having struck out 948 times and drawn 368 walks. They are averaging 3.8 runs per game, ranking 28th in the league. This season, they’ve amassed 527 RBIs alongside 1,142 hits, holding a team batting average of .245 with 537 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .306.
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The Royals showcase a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.64 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. To date, Royals pitchers have allowed 143 home runs and 544 runs, placing them 2nd in the league. They’ve surrendered 1,134 hits (8.2 per 9 innings), leading to a team ERA of 3.65 (3rd in MLB) and 1,097 strikeouts. The pitching unit has issued 415 walks, with a FIP of 3.97 this season.
Throughout this season, the Royals have utilized 469 relief pitchers. The relievers have faced 190 inherited runners, with 27.9% scoring. Recording 42 saves out of 60 chances, the Royals’ bullpen has a 70% save rate and has participated in 134 save situations, achieving 73 holds (20th in MLB). They have come into games with runners on base 139 times and have appeared in 153 high-leverage situations.
Defensively, the Royals convert 70.8% of balls in play into outs across 11,205 innings, ranking them 7th in Major League Baseball. The Houston Astros have recorded 3,735 putouts this season, alongside 1,237 assists and 56 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB) and completing 110 double plays.
Bergert (2-1 career record) has a FIP of 2.57 after facing 281 batters. He has given up 46 hits (6.0 per nine innings) and issued 29 walks, accumulating an earned run average of 2.61 (20 ERs allowed) with a career WHIP of 1.087. Over 69 innings pitched, he has tallied 65 strikeouts.
The Cleveland Guardians have a team on-base percentage of .294 and a batting average of .223 for the season. They rank 17th in MLB with 1,148 strikeouts and have recorded 1,015 hits. Cleveland has hit 145 home runs this season, accumulating 519 RBIs, while holding a slugging percentage of .368 and scoring an average of 3.88 runs per game (27th in the league). They have also achieved 198 doubles, drawn 421 walks, and scored 540 runs.
The Guardians own a WHIP of 1.318 and a FIP of 4.14 this season. Ranked 14th in total hits allowed with 1,148, their pitching staff has given up 596 runs, contributing to a team ERA of 3.97 (544 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40, with 1,156 strikeouts and 479 walks. They have allowed 152 home runs and average 4.35 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).
Cleveland’s relief pitchers have faced 183 inherited base runners, with a scoring percentage of 33.9%. They have entered 159 high-leverage situations and 130 scenarios with runners on base. In 152 save opportunities, the Guardians have recorded 92 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 5th in MLB with a save rate of 68.4%, having utilized 460 relief pitchers this season. Cleveland has converted 39 saves out of 57 save opportunities.
The Cleveland Guardians have successfully executed 103 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in MLB). They have noted 1,138 assists, 88 errors, and 3,702 putouts this season. With 11,106 innings played, Cleveland’s defensive efficiency stands at 69.3% (20th in MLB).
Cecconi (7-14 career record) has a 5.41 ERA, allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.72 and has faced 905 batters in his career. With 127 earned runs allowed, he has a WHIP of 1.326 and a FIP of 5.3. So far, Cecconi has surrendered 233 hits while recording 175 strikeouts over 211 innings pitched.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup—against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Recommended Bet: Choose Cleveland (+120)
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