- Matchup: Kansas State Wildcats vs Baylor Bears
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN+
- Betting Odds: Bears favored by 6.5 points
- Over/Under Total: 62
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The Baylor Bears (3-2) are set to host the Kansas State Wildcats (2-3) at McLane Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Baylor opens this contest as 6.5-point favorites, with an over/under total of 62 points.
The Kansas State Wildcats enter this game with a 2-3 record this season. In their most recent outing, the Wildcats triumphed over the UCF Knights with a score of 34-20. Kansas State’s running game was productive, achieving 266 yards on 44 carries, averaging 6.0 yards per attempt. By the end of the game, they executed 70 offensive plays for a total of 434 yards. Defensively, Kansas State allowed 13 completions on 26 pass attempts, yielding 197 yards, resulting in a 50.0% completion rate. Against the run, the Wildcats permitted 205 yards on 33 carries, averaging 6.2 yards per rush.

Offensively, Kansas State averages 26.2 points per game and ranks 94th nationally with 139.6 rushing yards per game. For the season, they have amassed a total of 1,717 yards. In terms of touchdowns, Kansas State has scored 8 through the air and 7 on the ground, accumulating 77 first downs while committing 15 penalties for 154 yards. They have also turned the ball over 6 times.
Defensively, the Wildcats have conceded 905 passing yards, ranking 57th in the nation, allowing an average of 181.0 yards per game with a 54.0% completion rate. In total, they surrender 362.6 yards per contest, placing them 74th in Division 1. In terms of touchdowns, they’ve allowed 5 through the air and 10 on the ground, giving up an average of 4.0 yards per carry and 181.6 rushing yards per game this season. Overall, they’ve allowed 908 rushing yards so far and rank 77th nationally with an average of 25.2 points per game allowed.
The Baylor Bears head into this matchup with a 3-2 record. In their last game, Baylor triumphed over the Oklahoma State Cowboys with a decisive score of 45-27. They totaled 612 yards, executing 74 plays with an impressive average of 8.3 yards per play. The Bears showcased their ground game, averaging 5.6 yards per rush, with a total of 219 yards on 39 carries. On defense, they faced 32 rushing attempts, allowing 157 yards at an average of 4.9 yards per carry. The Bears’ secondary yielded a completion rate of 58.7%, allowing 291 yards on 27 of 46 pass attempts.
When it comes to offense, Baylor averages an impressive 504.2 yards per game, ranking 11th nationally. They have committed 310 yards in penalties this season, placing them 44th. On the ground, they’re averaging 154.8 rushing yards per game with a total of 774 rushing yards thus far. They have surrendered 3 interceptions and allowed opponents to recover 5 fumbles, while recording 131 first downs. As for scoring, the Bears sit 34th in Division 1, averaging 36.6 points per game. So far this season, they’ve achieved a total of 1,747 passing yards, ranking them 3rd in the nation with an average of 349.4 passing yards per game.
The Bears’ defense has allowed an average of 28.8 points per game, positioning them 107th nationally. They have conceded a total of 901 rushing yards, or 180.2 yards per game, along with 10 rushing touchdowns. In the passing game, they’ve allowed 6 touchdowns and 203.0 yards per game, ranking 58th nationally. The Bears’ defensive unit has participated in 351 plays, ranking them 123rd in Division 1. They have recorded 1 fumble recovery and 4 interceptions this season, conceding a total of 144 points.
Who will emerge victorious in this battle between the Wildcats and Bears against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Wildcats +6.5
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