Kavanagh vs Johnson: Predictions and Odds for UFC Shanghai on 08/23/2025

Home » Kavanagh vs Johnson: Predictions and Odds for UFC Shanghai on 08/23/2025

Lone’er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson: A Showdown in the Octagon

Event: UFC Shanghai

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Arena, Shanghai, China

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025

On Saturday, August 23, 2025, Lone’er Kavanagh will face off against Charles Johnson at UFC Shanghai. The initial betting odds have Kavanagh favored at -190, while Johnson stands at +165.

Lone’er Kavanagh boasts an impressive unbeaten record of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old is competing at 125 lbs, measuring 5’6″ with a reach of 67 inches. His opponent, Charles “InnerG” Johnson, comes in at 5’9″ and weighs 126 lbs, holding a record of 17-7-0. At 34 years old, Johnson has a wingspan of 70 inches. In terms of striking, Kavanagh connects with an average of 3.73 significant strikes per minute while Johnson lands 4.74. Kavanagh has a striking accuracy of 50%, with Johnson slightly trailing at 49%. Defensively, Kavanagh allows 3.42 significant strikes per minute, while Johnson permits 3.62. Kavanagh successfully defends against 61% of strikes, compared to Johnson’s 57% defense rate.

UFC Predictions for Lone’er Kavanagh, Bet Odds

 

Event: UFC Shanghai Lone’er Kavanagh Charles Johnson
Opening Odds -190 +165
Record 9-0-0 17-7-0
Average Fight Duration 10:48 13:38
Height 5’6″ 5’9″
Weight Class 125 lbs 126 lbs
Reach 67″ 70″
Strikes Landed/Minute 3.73 4.74
Striking Efficiency 50% 49%

In the grappling department, Kavanagh excels, averaging 1.85 takedowns per 15 minutes with a success rate of 50%, while effectively stopping 90% of his opponents’ takedown attempts. Johnson, on the other hand, completes takedowns at a much lower rate of 20%, successfully defending against 67% of such attempts. Kavanagh also has the edge in submissions, attempting 0.7 per 15 minutes compared to Johnson’s 0.4 attempts.

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In his last fight, Lone’er Kavanagh squared off against Felipe dos Santos, securing a victory by unanimous decision after three rounds. In that bout, Santos landed 92 out of 147 total strikes, while Kavanagh landed 71 out of 112. Notably, Santos connected with 51 of 104 significant strikes, achieving an accuracy of 49%, landing 28 of 67 aimed at the head. Kavanagh showcased his striking precision, landing 59% of his significant strikes, connecting on 58 out of 97, with 37 of those aimed at the head, thus achieving 54% accuracy on head strikes compared to Santos’ 50% at distance.

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In Charles Johnson’s most recent bout, he faced Ramazan Temirov, suffering a loss by unanimous decision after three rounds. Temirov delivered a striking accuracy of 83% at range, while Johnson managed 69% at distance. Johnson landed 66 out of 156 total significant strikes, achieving an overall accuracy of 42%, including 28 out of 104 aimed at the head. Temirov connected on 55 of 139 significant strikes in total, landing 42 of 117 at the head. In total, Temirov threw 146 strikes, landing 59, while Johnson connected on 87 out of 183 attempts.

Other Fights to Follow

Don’t miss the intriguing matchup between Rongzhu and Austin Hubbard. Rongzhu enters the cage with a record of 26-6-0 at 155 lbs, standing at 5’9″ with a reach of 71″. Hubbard, standing at 5’10” and weighing 156 lbs, holds a record of 17-9-0. In grappling, Rongzhu averages 1.56 takedowns every 15 minutes, while Hubbard achieves an average of 1.59 per three rounds. Striking-wise, Rongzhu lands 5.90 strikes per minute with a 51% accuracy rate, whereas Hubbard connects on 43% of his strikes, landing an average of 3.87 per minute.

Another fight to keep an eye on is Kyle Daukaus taking on Michel Pereira. Pereira comes into this bout with a record of 31-13-0 (2 NC), weighing 185 lbs at a height of 6’1″ and reaching 73″. Daukaus stands 6’3″ and weighs 186 lbs with a record of 15-4-0 (1 NC). Pereira is adept at defending against opponent takedowns with a 76% success rate and completing 52% of his attempts. Meanwhile, Daukaus successfully executes takedowns with a 25% efficiency and defends 82% of his opponents’ attempts. In striking, Pereira absorbs 4.33 strikes per minute while throwing 4.50, while Daukaus takes in 2.94 and delivers 3.22 strikes per minute.

The anticipation builds—who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Lone’er Kavanagh (-190)

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