Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Kevin Holland is set to clash with Daniel Rodriguez at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The odds favor Holland at -442, while Rodriguez stands at +351.
Known as “Trailblazer,” Kevin Holland aims to boost his career tally to 29-13-0 (1 NC). At 32 years old, he weighs 170 lbs and towers at 6’3″. The orthodox fighter boasts a reach of 81″. His opponent, Daniel “D-Rod” Rodriguez, stands at 6’1″ and also weighs in at 170 lbs, holding a professional record of 19-5-0. At 38 years old, Rodriguez has a reach of 74″. In terms of striking, Holland lands an average of 4.24 significant strikes per minute, while Rodriguez connects at a higher rate of 7.39 strikes per minute. Holland has a striking accuracy of 50%, whereas Rodriguez logs 48%. On defense, Holland concedes 3.11 significant strikes per minute, while Rodriguez allows 5.39. Holland defends against 50% of significant strikes thrown at him, while Rodriguez stops 57% of incoming attacks.
| UFC 318 | Kevin Holland | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -442 | +351 |
| Record | 28-13-0 (1 NC) | 19-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:19 | 11:36 |
| Height | 6’3″ | 6’1″ |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 81″ | 74″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.24 | 7.39 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 48% |
In grappling, Holland averages 0.81 takedowns per 15 minutes, successfully completing 39% of his takedown attempts and defending against 55% of his opponent’s takedowns. Rodriguez, on the other hand, finishes 54% of his takedown efforts and has a takedown defense of 63%. Additionally, when it comes to submission attempts, Holland outperforms Rodriguez with an average of 0.6 submissions every 3 rounds compared to Rodriguez’s 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In Holland’s last fight, he faced Vicente Luque, securing a win via anaconda choke in the second round. Luque landed 24 out of 46 total strikes, while Holland recorded 44 out of 78. Specifically, Luque’s significant strikes numbered 24 from 46 attempts, translating to a 52% accuracy rate, whereas Holland achieved a 54% accuracy, landing 40 out of 74 significant strikes, including 25 aimed at the head. Both fighters delivered 100% of their significant strikes from a distance.
In Rodriguez’s most recent bout, he fought Santiago Ponzinibbio and secured a victory with a headshot in the third round. Ponzinibbio recorded 100% of his significant strikes from a distance, while Rodriguez logged 96%. Rodriguez landed 66 out of 166 total strikes, achieving 39% accuracy, with 39 of 131 head strikes. Ponzinibbio landed 49 out of 111 significant strikes, with a corresponding accuracy of 31% on head strikes. Overall, Rodriguez’s total strikes saw him land 70 out of 170 during the contest, while Ponzinibbio managed 50 from 115 total strikes.
Highlighted Fights to Anticipate
One exciting matchup to watch is Dan Ige facing off against Patricio Freire. Ige, with a record of 19-9-0, is 33 years old, weighs 145 lbs, and stands 5’7″. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71″. Freire, at 38 years old, also weighs in at 145 lbs and stands at 5’6″ with a reach of 67″. Ige averages 0.94 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Freire achieves 0.69 takedowns per 3 rounds. Striking-wise, Ige lands 3.67 strikes per minute with a 45% success rate, while Freire connects on 2.45 strikes per minute at a 40% accuracy.
Another must-see fight on the card involves Daniel Zellhuber clashing with Michael Johnson. Johnson steps into the Octagon with a record of 24-19-0, at 39 years old, weighing 155 lbs and standing 5’10”. The southpaw fighter possesses a reach of 73″. Zellhuber, standing at 6’1″ and weighing 155 lbs, has a professional record of 15-2-0 at 26 years old, with a reach of 77″. When it comes to takedown defense, Johnson successfully defends against 81% of opponent attempts and completes 40% of his takedown attempts. Zellhuber manages to finish 25% of his takedowns and defends against 94%. In terms of striking, Johnson absorbs 3.80 strikes per minute while delivering 4.23, while Zellhuber faces 6.02 strikes per minute but dishes out 6.26 strikes.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Kevin Holland (-442)
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