King Green vs Diego Ferreira Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for UFC 319 on 08/16/2025

Home » King Green vs Diego Ferreira Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for UFC 319 on 08/16/2025

King Green vs Diego Ferreira

UFC 319 Event

Location: United Center, Chicago

Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025

In a highly anticipated matchup, King Green will face off against Diego Ferreira at UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, 2025. Currently, the odds position Green at +137 while Ferreira stands at -157.

King Green aims to improve his career record, which currently stands at 32 wins, 17 losses, and 1 no contest (1 NC). At 38 years old, he will compete in the lightweight division at 155 lbs. Green stands at 5’10” with a reach of 71″. In contrast, Diego Ferreira, who fights orthodox, stands 5’9″ and also weighs in at 155 lbs, holding a record of 19 wins and 6 losses. The 40-year-old boasts a striking reach of 74″. In terms of striking output, King Green averages 6.40 significant strikes landed per minute, whereas Diego Ferreira connects on 4.82 significant strikes per minute. Green’s striking accuracy is notable at 52%, compared to Ferreira’s 40%. On the defensive side, Green absorbs 3.72 significant strikes per minute while Ferreira takes 3.46 strikes. Green successfully defends against 62% of incoming significant strikes, while Ferreira wards off 55% of the attempts directed at him.

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UFC 319 Overview King Green Info Diego Ferreira Info
Opening Betting Odds +137 -157
Overall Record 32-17-1 (1 NC) 19-6-0
Average Fight Duration 10:51 9:46
Fighter Height 5’10” 5’9″
Fighter Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach Advantage 71″ 74″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.40 4.82
Striking Accuracy Rate 52% 40%

In the wrestling statistics, King Green excels with an average of 1.22 takedowns per 3 rounds. He successfully completes 39% of his takedown attempts and interrupts 74% of his opponents’ takedowns. Meanwhile, Ferreira manages to secure takedowns on 30% of his attempts and successfully defends against 57% of the takedowns aimed at him. When it comes to submissions, Green goes for the finish approximately 0.3 times per 15 minutes, while Ferreira attempts a finish 0.6 times per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, King Green faced Mauricio Ruffy and suffered a loss due to a wheel kick in the first round. Ruffy landed 4 out of 9 total strikes attempted, while Green managed to connect on 4 of 15 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ruffy achieved a 44% accuracy rate, landing 4 out of 9 attempts, predominantly to the head. In contrast, Green recorded a striking accuracy of 26%, having landed 4 of his 15 significant strikes, with only 1 of 7 aimed at the head. All significant strikes from both fighters were executed at a distance.

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Diego Ferreira’s most recent matchup was against Grant Dawson, where he lost by unanimous decision in the third round. Dawson landed 33% of his significant strikes at distance, while Ferreira had a 75% success rate with his significant strikes, hitting 41 of 61 attempts. Ferreira managed 31 of 48 significant strikes aimed at the head, compared to Dawson’s 56 out of 98 total strikes. Across the board, Dawson connected on 195 of 269 attempts, while Ferreira landed 84 out of 113 total strikes.

Other Key Bouts to Monitor

Another exciting fight to keep an eye on features Gerald Meerschaert facing Michal Oleksiejczuk. Meerschaert, looking for a win to boost his record to 37-19-0, weighs in at 185 lbs and stands 6’1″ tall. The southpaw holds a reach of 77″. Meanwhile, Oleksiejczuk stands at 6’0″ and competes at the same weight class, holding a record of 20-9-0 (1 NC), with a reach of 74″. In grappling, Meerschaert averages 1.86 takedowns every 15 minutes, while Oleksiejczuk secures takedowns 1.05 times per 3 rounds. In striking, Meerschaert lands 3.05 strikes per minute at an accuracy of 45%, while Oleksiejczuk connects on 51% of his attempts with a rate of 5.27 strikes landed per minute.

Additionally, look out for Alexander Hernandez as he takes on Chase Hooper. Hooper enters the Octagon with a record of 16-3-1, weighing 155 lbs and standing 6’1″. The southpaw boasts a 74″ reach. Hernandez, who also weighs in at 155 lbs, stands at 5’9″ and seeks to improve his record of 16-8-0 at the age of 32 with a reach of 72″. In wrestling stats, Hooper defends against 55% of attempted takedowns and finishes 34% of his own, while Hernandez achieves takedowns on 36% of his attempts, showing a 71% takedown defense rate. When it comes to striking output, Hooper absorbs 2.96 strikes per minute and delivers 4.53 strikes, whereas Hernandez takes 4.62 and lands 4.38 strikes per minute.

Which fighter will emerge victorious in this thrilling UFC matchup?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back King Green (+137)

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