Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans Forecast, 12/21/2025 NFL Selections, Top Wagers & Odds Week 16

Home » Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans Forecast, 12/21/2025 NFL Selections, Top Wagers & Odds Week 16

  • Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans
  • Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
  • Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
  • Broadcast: CBS
  • Betting Line: Texans (-14.5)
  • Over/Under Total: 38

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The Las Vegas Raiders (2-12) are set to visit NRG Stadium this Sunday to face off against the Houston Texans (9-5). Houston is favored by 14.5 points, according to Vegas oddsmakers. The combined point total for the game is set at 38.

Entering this matchup, the Las Vegas Raiders carry a disappointing 2-12 record for the season. In their latest outing, they suffered a defeat against the Philadelphia Eagles, finishing the game with a score of 31-0. Ashton Jeanty led the team’s rushing effort, accumulating 35 yards on 9 carries, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt. Brock Bowers recorded 28 receiving yards with an average of 4.7 yards per catch over 6 receptions. Quarterback Kenny Pickett completed 15 of 25 passes for 64 yards, ending the game with a quarterback rating of 47.9 and throwing one interception. In terms of rushing defense, the Raiders allowed 183 yards on 47 carries, averaging 3.9 yards per run. They also gave up 204 passing yards on 15 completions from 18 attempts, reflecting a completion rate of 83.3%. The Raiders managed only 75 yards on 38 offensive plays and had just 46 rushing yards on 13 attempts, averaging a mere 3.5 yards per carry.

NFL Picks: Ashton Jeanty Las Vegas Raiders Predictions and Odds

This season, the Raiders have amassed a total of 3,418 yards, achieving 140 first downs while incurring 92 penalties totaling 765 yards. They’ve produced 17 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns, alongside 18 turnovers (15 interceptions and 3 fumbles). On average, Las Vegas rushes for a mere 70.8 yards per game, ranking them last in the league. Their scoring average stands at only 14.0 points per game.

Defensively, the Raiders rank 25th in points allowed, giving up 25.9 points per game. Opponents average 3.9 yards per carry against them, totaling 118.9 rushing yards per game. In the air, they have surrendered 2,958 passing yards, ranking 16th for pass defense. Their opponents have averaged 211.3 passing yards per game, with a completion percentage of 69.2%. Overall, the Raiders have yielded an average of 330.1 yards per game, placing them in the middle of the pack at 16th in the league. They have allowed 22 passing touchdowns and 19 rushing touchdowns, with a total of 1,664 rushing yards given up through 14 games this season.

On the other hand, the Texans currently stand at 9-5 for the season. In their latest match, they achieved a resounding victory of 40-20 over the Arizona Cardinals. C.J. Stroud threw for 260 yards, completing 22 out of 29 passes with 3 touchdowns and a quarterback rating of 137.1. He did not throw any interceptions and averaged 9.0 yards per attempt. Jawhar Jordan had a strong showing with 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, averaging 6.7 yards per attempt. Dalton Schultz was a key target, catching 8 passes for 76 yards (an average of 9.5 yards per catch). Houston’s rushing attack averaged 4.3 yards per attempt, achieving 143 rushing yards on 33 carries. The Texans totaled 399 offensive yards, executing 62 plays with an average gain of 6.4 yards per play. In the secondary, they allowed a completion percentage of 67.5%, giving up 235 yards on 27 completions from 40 attempts. Houston limited their opponents to 72 rushing yards over 21 attempts, averaging 3.4 yards per carry.

In terms of scoring, the Texans are positioned 17th in the league, averaging 23.1 points per game. For the season, they have accumulated 3,071 passing yards, translating to an average of 219.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 14th in the NFL. Houston averages 108.4 rushing yards per game, logging a total of 1,517 rushing yards for the campaign. Overall, their offense averages 327.7 yards per game, placing them 19th in the league. The Texans have incurred 99 penalties, allowing 813 yards, which ranks them 10th among teams for the most penalties. They have thrown 7 interceptions and lost 3 fumbles, while accumulating 157 first downs this season.

Defensively, they have allowed 15 passing touchdowns and an average of 176.5 passing yards per game, ranking them 4th in the league in pass defense. On the ground, Houston has yielded a total of 1,298 rushing yards (92.7 yards per game), along with 10 rushing touchdowns. The Texans’ defense has forced 24 turnovers this season (8 forced fumbles and 16 interceptions). Overall, they have given up 228 total points, with the defense being on the field for 809 plays, placing them 5th in the NFL. The Texans are currently leading the league in points allowed, with an average of just 16.3 points per game.

Who will prevail in the Raiders-Texans NFL matchup against the spread?

Expert Prediction: Bet on the Texans -14.5

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Pick: Houston Texans Forecast -14.5
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