Matchup: Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals
Event Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
Betting Lines: Los Angeles (+106) Kansas City (-128)
Kauffman Stadium will host the Kansas City Royals (70-68) as they aim to secure a victory against the Los Angeles Angels (65-73) this Thursday. The current moneyline for this matchup positions Los Angeles at +106 and Kansas City at -128, with a total set at 9 runs. Expected starters for the game are Kyle Hendricks and Seth Lugo.
On average, the Los Angeles Angels score 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 21st overall in Major League Baseball. They have tallied 589 runs with an on-base percentage of .302. The Angels have hit 190 doubles and gone deep 193 times this season, accumulating a total of 568 RBI and 1,053 hits, while maintaining a batting average of .229. Their slugging percentage stands at .402, and they have recorded 1,356 strikeouts against 421 walks.
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The Angels sit with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.06 and their pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.43. This year, Los Angeles pitchers have allowed 188 home runs and 691 runs total (ranking 27th in the league). They have given up 1,223 hits, averaging 9.0 per 9 innings, and allowed 641 earned runs, leading to an ERA of 4.72 (27th in the league), while striking out 1,081 batters. This season, they have issued 526 walks, with a FIP of 4.75.
Angels pitchers have faced opponents on base 127 times and have been in 178 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has accumulated 75 holds, ranking 18th in the league, with a 53.3% save rate while stepping in for 138 save opportunities. They have recorded 32 saves against 28 blown saves from 60 chances. With 194 inherited runners, 37.1% have scored under their watch, resulting in 478 appearances from the bullpen this season.
The Kansas City Royals have registered 3,666 putouts, 1,216 assists, and made 78 errors this year. Their fielding percentage of .984 ranks them 22nd among MLB teams, coupled with 141 double plays. The Angels convert 68.9% of balls in play into outs, putting them 24th in Major League Baseball across 10,998 innings.
Hendricks has pitched 1,716 innings with 1,348 strikeouts over his MLB career, boasting a 103-90 record. His FIP is 3.72, and he has faced 7,098 batters, yielding an ERA of 3.78 (721 earned runs allowed) alongside a WHIP of 1.191. He has surrendered 1,643 hits (8.6 per nine innings) after issuing 401 walks.
This season, the Royals are generating a slugging percentage of .393 while scoring 3.84 runs per game (28th overall). They have achieved 242 doubles, drawn 363 walks, and scored a total of 530 runs, along with 132 home runs and 521 RBIs. However, they have struck out 937 times, the highest in the league, alongside achieving 1,133 hits. Their on-base percentage is a modest .307, with a team batting average of .246.
Kansas City’s pitching staff has given up 537 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.65 (498 earned runs). They have allowed 141 home runs and averaged 3.94 runs against per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Royals’ WHIP stands at 1.245, while their FIP is 3.96. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.90, totaling 1,077 strikeouts against 405 walks, ranking them 10th in the league for hits allowed with a total of 1,123.
The Royals’ relief team has an inherited scoring percentage of 27.5% from 189 inherited runners. Their bullpen has entered the game 149 times in high-leverage situations and 138 times with runners on base. Kansas City has recorded 73 holds and 17 blown saves out of 132 save situations, achieving a commendable 70.7% save rate, sending 462 relief pitchers to the mound this year. They have converted 41 out of 58 save opportunities.
With 11,043 innings played, Kansas City has recorded a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (9th in the MLB) and has turned 107 double plays while maintaining a .989 fielding percentage (4th in MLB). To date, the Royals have amassed 1,223 assists, 56 errors, and 3,681 putouts for the ongoing season.
Lugo, with a career record of 64-47, boasts a 3.49 ERA, allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.46, having faced 4,098 opposing batters throughout his career. He has allowed 385 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.174 and a FIP of 3.4, surrendering 889 hits while accumulating 954 strikeouts across 992 innings.
Who do you think will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Los Angeles (+106)
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