- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins
- Event Date: Sunday, October 12, 2025
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: Dolphins (+4.5)
- Over/Under Total: 43.5
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The Miami Dolphins (1-4) will take on the Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) at Hard Rock Stadium this Sunday. The Dolphins are entering the game as 4.5-point underdogs according to Vegas odds. The total points line is set at 43.5.
Currently, the Chargers hold a 3-2 record in the season. In their most recent game, they suffered a loss against the Washington Commanders, finishing 27-10. Omarion Hampton led the Chargers’ rushing efforts with 12 carries for 44 yards (3.7 yards per carry). Additionally, he averaged 4.3 yards per reception, achieving 26 yards from 6 catches. Quarterback Justin Herbert completed 22 of 29 passes for 166 yards and 1 touchdown, boasting a QB rating of 86.3 with 1 interception. Defensively, the Chargers allowed 163 rushing yards on 28 attempts (5.8 yards per carry) and gave up 15 completions on 26 attempts for a total of 226 passing yards, translating to a completion rate of 57.7%. Overall, the Chargers ran 60 plays for 336 total yards, with 27 rushing attempts totaling 155 yards and an average of 5.7 yards per carry.
When it comes to scoring, the Chargers are averaging 19.6 points per game. They rank 14th in the league with an average of 116.8 rushing yards per game. This season, Los Angeles has accumulated a total of 1,761 yards, achieved 60 first downs, and suffered from 39 penalties totaling 299 yards. They have turned the ball over 7 times (4 interceptions and 3 fumbles). In the red zone, the Chargers have recorded 8 receiving touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns.
On the defensive front, they’ve allowed 861 passing yards, ranking 6th in the league. The Chargers are giving up an average of 172.2 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 59.1%. In the rushing department, they’ve given up 608 yards in 5 games this season. Opponents have scored 4 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns against them. Keeping them positioned at 7th in the league, they allow 293.8 total yards per game while yielding 19.6 points on average.
The Dolphins enter this matchup with a 1-4 record on the season. In their latest game, they were narrowly defeated by the Carolina Panthers, with a score of 27-24. De’Von Achane managed 10 carries for 16 yards, averaging 1.6 yards per attempt. He was one of the primary receivers for the Dolphins, catching 6 passes for 30 yards (5.0 yards per reception). Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa finished the game with 256 yards on 27 of 36 passing, throwing 3 touchdowns and achieving a QB rating of 122 without any interceptions. The Dolphins conceded 32 rushing attempts for 239 yards (7.5 yards per carry). Defensively, they allowed a completion percentage of 63.3%, giving up 179 yards on 19 of 30 passing. Miami’s offensive unit totaled 248 yards on 50 plays (5.0 yards per play) while managing only 1.4 yards per attempt on 14 rushing attempts, totaling 19 yards.
On average, the Miami Dolphins are gaining 278.6 total yards per game, ranking 28th in the NFL. They average 82.2 rushing yards per game, with a total of 411 rushing yards this season. With 4 interceptions and 1 fumble lost, the Dolphins have achieved 60 first downs. They’ve accumulated a total of 241 yards on 34 penalties, placing them at 21st overall in enabling opponents’ scoring opportunities. The Dolphins have recorded 982 passing yards this season, averaging 196.4 yards per game, which ranks them 21st in the league. Scoring-wise, Miami stands at 21st in average points, with 21.4 per game.
On defense, the Dolphins are allowing 29.0 points per game, ranking them 27th in the NFL. They have given up 9 passing touchdowns and an average of 212.4 yards in the air each game, placing them 16th overall. On the ground, Miami has allowed 871 rushing yards (averaging 174.2 yds per game) and 6 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has been active on the field for 304 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 18th in the league. So far, they have recorded 5 turnovers (4 forced fumbles and 1 interception) and conceded a total of 145 points.
Who will prevail in this Chargers vs. Dolphins NFL showdown against the spread?
Parlay Recommendation: Choose the Dolphins +4.5 and the over 43.5 total points
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