Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds
Scheduled Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: Los Angeles (-160) Cincinnati (+132)
The Cincinnati Reds (56-51) are set to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45) this Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. The betting odds favor Los Angeles at -160, while Cincinnati holds a line of +132. The over/under for this contest is pegged at 8.5. Starting on the mound will be Shohei Ohtani for Los Angeles and Nick Martinez for Cincinnati.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are showcasing a slugging percentage of .443 with 898 strikeouts and 390 walks this season. They have amassed 541 RBIs through 928 hits, resulting in a batting average of .254. The Dodgers have registered 174 doubles and hit 161 home runs, scoring an impressive 561 runs and holding a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .330. Averaging 5.2 runs per game places them 2nd in the league.
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The Dodgers’ pitching staff holds an earned run average (ERA) of 4.24 this season (23rd in MLB) with 940 strikeouts across the board. They have allowed 129 home runs and 492 runs, ranking 23rd in the league. Their pitchers have issued 376 walks with a collective Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 4.21. This staff has given up 881 hits (8.3 per nine innings) and 450 earned runs, achieving a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.32.
Throughout the season, the Dodgers have called upon 388 relief pitchers. These relievers have inherited 146 runners, with 26.7% of them scoring. The bullpen has accumulated 32 saves out of 48 opportunities, leading to a save conversion rate of 66.7%. They excel with 79 holds this year (1st in MLB) and have entered 131 save situations, with 94 encounters where runners were on base and 109 appearances in high-leverage plays.
Los Angeles has converted 69.6% of balls put in play into outs during their 8,589 innings, positioning them at 16th in the league. The team has completed 2,863 putouts, 914 assists, and recorded 52 errors this season, yielding a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 12th in the MLB, along with 76 double plays.
Pitcher Shohei Ohtani has logged 493 innings with 621 strikeouts and a career record of 38-19. He possesses a FIP of 2.93, having faced 1,998 batters during his time in Major League Baseball. His ERA stands at an impressive 2.97 (163 earned runs) alongside a career WHIP of 1.081, allowing only 357 hits (6.5 hits per nine innings) and issuing 176 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds showcase a slugging percentage of .392 and score an average of 4.55 runs per game, good for 11th in the league. They have hit 168 doubles, drawn 359 walks, and scored 487 runs. Cincinnati has tallied 109 home runs this season and recorded 456 RBIs, while striking out 917 times (9th in MLB) with a total of 882 hits. Their OBP is .320 and their batting average is .246.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.236 and a FIP of 4.08 this season. They rank 7th in the league for the fewest hits allowed, having given up 831 hits and 445 runs (ERA of 3.86). The strikeout-to-walk ratio for the team is an impressive 8.40 (880 strikeouts to 336 walks), with 120 home runs allowed and an average of 4.24 runs per game (12th in MLB).
In save scenarios, the Reds have recorded 67 holds, 12 blown saves, and converted 25 out of 37 save opportunities. Their relief pitchers have participated in 91 high-leverage situations and entered 88 times with runners on base. The bullpen has successfully inherited 33.1% of their 139 inherited runners, ranking 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 67.6%, calling on 360 relief pitchers throughout the year.
In defensive play, the Reds have turned 63 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB). They boast 808 assists, 54 errors, and achieved 2,834 putouts. Over 8,502 innings played, the team holds a defensive efficiency of 71.4%, placing them 3rd in MLB.
Nick Martinez has pitched 895 innings allowing 896 hits and recording 640 strikeouts. With a lifetime ERA of 4.17, he has permitted 415 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 4.1. Martinez has maintained a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.32 while facing 3,803 batters during his MLB career.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Cincinnati (+132)
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