Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-122) Milwaukee (+102)
At American Family Field, the Milwaukee Brewers (50-40) are set to challenge the Los Angeles Dodgers (56-35) on Tuesday evening. The betting line has the Dodgers favored at -122, while the Brewers are at +102. The game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs, featuring pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Jacob Misiorowski on the mound.
This season, the Los Angeles Dodgers are leading the league by scoring an average of 5.5 runs per game. They have tallied a total of 500 runs, backed by an on-base percentage of .336. The team has produced 151 doubles and 141 home runs. With 482 RBIs and 809 hits, their batting average stands at .260. The Dodgers showcase a slugging percentage of .454 and have recorded 741 strikeouts while earning 336 walks.
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This season, the Dodgers have posted a team ERA of 4.33, ranking 23rd overall, with their pitchers striking out 803 batters. Consequently, Dodgers pitching has surrendered 117 home runs and a total of 423 runs (also 23rd in MLB). The pitching staff has issued 315 walks, with a collective FIP of 4.30. Los Angeles has allowed 757 hits (averaging 8.4 per 9 innings) and 391 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.32.
Los Angeles’ relief unit boasts a save conversion rate of 70.0%, having entered 115 save situations. During the campaign, relievers inherited 106 runners, with 22.6% scoring. This season, the Dodgers’ relief corps has come in with runners on base 74 times and has faced high-leverage situations 89 times. To date, 328 different relievers have taken the mound, producing 72 holds (1st in the league) and securing 28 saves, with 12 failed out of 40 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Dodgers have transformed 69.7% of balls in play into outs, placing them 17th in MLB. They’ve collected 2,439 putouts, 790 assists, and committed 41 errors for a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 8th overall, with a total of 68 double plays.
Clayton Kershaw has pitched 2,786 innings over his career, amassing 3,000 strikeouts. With a win-loss record of 216-94, Kershaw carries a FIP of 2.48 and has faced 10,999 hitters. He boasts an ERA of 2.52 (having allowed 779 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.014, with 2,133 hits allowed (averaging 6.9 hits per nine innings) and 692 walks.
The Milwaukee Brewers, on the other hand, have maintained an OBP of .322 and a batting average of .247 this season. They have struck out 724 times (ranking 19th in baseball) and recorded 744 hits. The Brewers have hit 86 home runs, contributing to 391 RBIs, and boast a team slugging percentage of .381 while averaging 4.67 runs per game (8th in MLB). They’ve also achieved 130 doubles, drawn 309 walks, and scored 420 runs.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 363 runs this season, carrying a team ERA of 3.77 (with 334 earned runs given up). They have permitted 96 home runs and yield 4.09 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). Their team WHIP stands at 1.269, with a FIP of 3.99. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 8.60 (764 strikeouts against 303 walks), ranking 9th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 710 hits surrendered.
This season, the Brewers have used their relief pitchers in 35 save situations, executing 24 saves and earning an 8th place ranking with a save conversion rate of 68.6%. The bullpen has seen 314 different relievers, operating in 101 high-stress scenarios and 82 instances with runners on base. Milwaukee’s relievers have prevented 34.4% of inherited runners from scoring out of 125. So far, with 97 save situations, they have achieved 60 holds and witnessed 11 blown saves.
Over the course of 7,185 innings played, the Brewers’ defensive efficiency stands at 70.5%, which positions them 12th in the majors. They’ve turned 64 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in the league), accumulating 712 assists, 45 errors, and recording 2,395 putouts this season.
In his MLB career, Misiorowski has given up only 8 hits while collecting 21 strikeouts across 19 innings. With a career record of 3-1, Misiorowski holds a 3.28 ERA, allowing 3.8 hits per nine innings. So far, he has surrendered 7 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 0.938 and a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.10, having faced 75 batters in his professional career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Parlay’s Pundit’s Choice: Back Milwaukee (+102) and the under at 8.5 runs
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