Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato Predictions, UFC 326 Odds for 03/07/2026

• Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato: Fight Preview
• Event: UFC 326
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
• Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

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Mark your calendars for UFC 326, where Luke Fernandez will go head-to-head against Rodolfo Bellato on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The betting odds currently favor Fernandez at -215, while Bellato sits at +185.

Luke Fernandez aims to maintain his undefeated record of 6-0-0. At 30 years old, he weighs 205 lbs and stands 6’1″ tall with a reach of 76 inches. Rodolfo “Trator” Bellato, also 30, measures in at 6’3″ and weighs 205 lbs. His fighting record is 12-3-1 with 1 no contest. Additionally, Bellato has a reach of 75 inches. In terms of striking, Fernandez boasts an impressive 32.00 significant strikes landed per minute, while Bellato lands only 5.13. Fernandez has a striking accuracy of 100%, while Bellato connects at 59%. In defensive stats, Fernandez allows 0.00 significant strikes per minute, while Bellato takes 5.86 on average. Fernandez also deflects every single significant strike aimed at him, maintaining a defensive rate of 100%, whereas Bellato defends against 46% of incoming strikes.

In grappling terms, Luke Fernandez is less proficient, taking his opponents down just 0.65 times every 15 minutes, managing to do so 10% of the time. He successfully defends 10% of the takedowns attempted against him. In contrast, Bellato excels with a takedown success rate of 35% and a staggering 94% in defending against takedown attempts. Although Fernandez is more active in submissions, attempting 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds, Bellato tries only 0.2 per 3 rounds.

In his last match, Luke Fernandez faced Rafael Pergentino, securing a victory with a punch to the head on the ground during round 1. Pergentino failed to land any strikes, going 0 for 1, while Fernandez landed all of his 8 strike attempts. Notably, he managed to connect 100% of his significant strikes, all aimed at the head, while Pergentino’s striking percentage was a dismal 0%.

Rodolfo Bellato’s recent fight ended in a unanimous decision loss against Navajo Stirling. Stirling hit an impressive 86% of his significant strikes from distance, while Bellato managed to connect on 90% of his distance strikes. Bellato landed 43 out of 89 significant strikes, with 21 of those to the head. Stirling had a remarkable performance, landing 81 of 158 significant strikes, including 44 of 102 aimed at the head.

Exciting Fights to Anticipate

Don’t miss the electrifying matchup between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira. Holloway enters the Octagon with a record of 27-8-0. At 34 years old, he weighs 155 lbs and stands 5’11” tall with a reach of 69 inches. Oliveira, with a record of 36-11-0 (1 NC), is 36 years old, weighs 155 lbs, and stands 5’10” tall with a reach of 74 inches. Holloway averages 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Oliveira averages 2.22. In striking statistics, Holloway connects on 7.20 strikes per minute with a 48% striking accuracy, whereas Oliveira connects on 54% of his strikes for an average of 3.35 significant strikes per minute.

For fans of thrilling matchups, the clash between Reinier de Ridder and Caio Borralho is one to watch. Borralho holds a record of 17-2-0 (1 NC) and weighs 185 lbs at a height of 6’1″ with a reach of 75 inches. De Ridder, 6’4″ tall and weighing 185 lbs, has a record of 21-3-0. Caio defends 76% of takedowns and succeeds in 48% of his attempted takedowns, while de Ridder completes takedowns at 30% and defends against 50% of attempts. When it comes to striking, Borralho averages 2.50 strikes absorbed per minute with 3.44 landed, whereas de Ridder takes 2.04 strikes per minute and delivers 2.20 strikes.

Who will prevail in today’s UFC fight against the spread?

Expert Prediction: Bet on Luke Fernandez (-215)