- Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell
- UFC London Event
- O2 Arena, London
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
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On Saturday, March 21, 2026, Luke Riley will face off against Michael Aswell at UFC London. The betting odds currently stand at -180 for Riley and +155 for Aswell.
Luke Riley enters this fight with an impressive record of 12 wins and no losses (12-0-0). At 26 years old, he weighs 145 lbs and stands 5’9″ tall. The orthodox fighter boasts a reach of 69 inches. Michael “The Texas Kid” Aswell, aged 25, measures 5’8″ and also weighs in at 145 lbs. With a professional record of 11 wins and 3 losses (11-3-0), Aswell has a wingspan of 69 inches. In terms of striking, Riley lands an average of 2.55 significant strikes per minute, while Aswell connects with an impressive 9.56 strikes per minute. Riley has a striking accuracy of 60%, compared to Aswell’s 45%. Defensively, Riley absorbs 1.27 significant strikes per minute, with a defense rate of 46%, whereas Aswell takes 7.79 strikes per minute, successfully defending against 54% of incoming shots.
| UFC London Stats | Luke Riley | Michael Aswell |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -180 | +155 |
| Fight Record | 12-0-0 | 11-3-0 |
| Average Fight Duration | 5:30 | 10:34 |
| Height | 5’9″ | 5’8″ |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 69″ | 69″ |
| Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.55 | 9.56 |
| Striking Accuracy | 60% | 45% |
In the grappling department, Luke Riley proves to be superior, successfully scoring a takedown 0.90 times every three rounds. He completes 15% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 42% of his opponents’ takedowns. Aswell, on the other hand, executes 15% of his takedown attempts and has a takedown defense rate of 57%. In terms of finishing ability, Riley is more aggressive, attempting 0.9 finishes every 15 minutes, while Aswell aims for 0.7 finishes per three rounds.
In his last matchup, Luke Riley faced Bogdan Grad, securing a victory with a punch to the head in the second round. Grad managed to land 17 out of 24 strikes throughout the fight, while Riley landed 20 of 32 total strikes. Specifically, during significant strikes, Grad connected on 7 of 13 for a 53% accuracy, landing 6 of 12 significant strikes aimed at the head. Riley, conversely, achieved a 60% rate for significant strikes, connecting on 14 of 23, with 11 of those hits targeted at the head. Notably, 14% of Grad’s and 28% of Riley’s significant strikes landed at distance.
In Michael Aswell’s most recent Octagon appearance, he went up against Lucas Almeida, winning by delivering punches to the head from the mount position in round one. Almeida successfully landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance, while Aswell hit 63% of his significant strikes from distance. Overall, Aswell had a 55% connection rate, landing 30 of 54 attempts, including 30 of 53 directed at the head. Almeida, however, managed to connect on 9 of 21 significant strikes during their match, achieving an accuracy of 3 of 14 aimed at the head. In terms of total striking attempts, Almeida was 9 of 21 while Aswell’s total strikes amounted to 34 of 59.
Other Notable Bouts on the Card
One other match that deserves watching is the clash between Michael Page and Sam Patterson. Page aims to extend his record to 24 wins and 3 losses (24-3-0). The 38-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands at 6’3″ tall, with a reach of 79 inches. Sam Patterson, standing 6’3″ and also weighing 170 lbs, enters the Octagon with a record of 14 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw (14-2-1), extending his reach to 78 inches. In grappling, Page scores a takedown 0.23 times every three rounds, whereas Patterson averages 1.39 takedowns per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Page lands an average of 2.39 strikes per minute with 60% accuracy, while Patterson connects on 43% of his attempted strikes at a rate of 3.89 strikes per minute.
Don’t miss Austen Lane stepping into the Octagon against Iwo Baraniewski, who looks to improve his pristine record of 7 wins and no losses (7-0-0). The 27-year-old competes at 205 lbs and stands 6’0″ tall with a reach of 73 inches. Lane, at 6’6″ and also weighing 205 lbs, aims to enhance his career record of 13 wins, 7 losses, and 1 no contest (13-7-0). In terms of takedowns, Baraniewski defends against 85% of attempts and converts 15% of his takedowns, while Lane completes 28% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 33%. Regarding striking, Baraniewski absorbs 17.61 strikes per minute while landing 14.31, while Lane absorbs 2.23 strikes per minute and connects on 2.74 per minute.
Which fighter will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match?
Prediction: Bet on Michael Aswell (+155)
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