Magomed Ankalaev vs Alex Pereira Predictions and Odds for UFC 320 on 10/04/2025

Home » Magomed Ankalaev vs Alex Pereira Predictions and Odds for UFC 320 on 10/04/2025

  • UFC Matchup: Magomed Ankalaev vs Alex Pereira
  • Event: UFC 320
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

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On October 4, 2025, Magomed Ankalaev will take on Alex Pereira at UFC 320. The initial odds favor Ankalaev at -260, while Pereira stands at +220.

Magomed Ankalaev enters the octagon boasting a 21-1-1 (1 NC) record. At 33 years old, he weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6’3″ tall, with a reach of 75 inches. Conversely, Alex “Poatan” Pereira, aged 38, also fights at 205 lbs but has a height of 6’4″ and a reach of 79 inches, holding a professional record of 12-3-0. In terms of striking statistics, Ankalaev averages 3.66 significant strikes per minute, while Pereira exceeds this with 5.00 per minute. Ankalaev has a striking accuracy of 52%, whereas Pereira boasts a 62% accuracy rate. In defense, Ankalaev absorbs 2.46 significant strikes per minute, while Pereira takes in 3.50. Ankalaev defends against 57% of significant strikes thrown at him, while Pereira successfully blocks 53% of incoming shots.

UFC Picks: Magomed Ankalaev Predictions and Best Bets
Event: UFC 320 Magomed Ankalaev Alex Pereira
Opening Odds -260 +220
Record 21-1-1 (1 NC) 12-3-0
Average Fight Time 12:31 11:57
Height 6’3″ 6’4″
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 75″ 79″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.66 5.00
Striking Accuracy 52% 62%

In grappling, Magomed Ankalaev demonstrates superior efficiency with an average of 0.80 takedowns every 15 minutes. He succeeds in 22% of his takedown attempts and defends 87% of the takedowns he faces. Pereira, on the other hand, successfully completes 50% of his takedowns and defends against 78% of attempts against him. In submission attempts, Ankalaev is the more proficient fighter, averaging 0.8 submission finishes every 15 minutes, compared to Pereira’s 0.2 submission attempts over three rounds.

In their previous bout, Magomed Ankalaev faced Alex Pereira, winning by unanimous decision in the final round. Pereira landed 97 out of 159 total strikes attempted, whereas Ankalaev scored 127 of 224 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Pereira managed to land 76 from 137 attempts, marking a 55% accuracy rate. He finished the bout with 11 out of 57 significant strikes landed to the head. Ankalaev recorded a 52% efficiency rate by landing 94 out of 180 attempts, successfully connecting with 36 of 112 significant strikes aimed at the head. Notably, 90% of Pereira’s and 79% of Ankalaev’s successful significant strikes were delivered at a distance.

In his most recent fight, Alex Pereira faced Magomed Ankalaev, ultimately losing by unanimous decision in round five. Ankalaev landed 79% of his significant strikes at distance, while Pereira hit 90% of his attempts from the same range. Pereira connected on 55% of his significant strikes, landing 76 of 137 attempts and 11 of those to the head. Ankalaev struck 94 out of 180 significant strikes during the bout, 36 of which were aimed at the head. The total strikes landed reflected Ankalaev’s success at 127 of 224, compared to Pereira’s 97 of 159 total strikes thrown.

Upcoming Fights to Watch

Keep an eye on the matchup between Merab Dvalishvili and Cory Sandhagen. Dvalishvili, with an impressive record of 20-4-0, stands 5’6″ and weighs 135 lbs, while using an orthodox stance and possessing a reach of 68 inches. Sandhagen, at 5’11” and 135 lbs, records a professional record of 18-5-0 and boasts a reach of 70 inches. In terms of grappling, Dvalishvili averages 5.84 takedowns every 15 minutes, in contrast to Sandhagen’s 1.28. Striking statistics show Dvalishvili achieving 4.31 strikes per minute with a 42% accuracy, while Sandhagen records 5.06 strikes per minute with a 45% accuracy rate.

Another intriguing bout features Khalil Rountree Jr. facing Jiri Prochazka. Prochazka enters with a 31-5-1 record, weighs in at 205 lbs, and stands 6’3″ tall with an 80-inch reach. Rountree Jr. stands at 6’1″ and weighs 205 lbs, holding a record of 14-6-0 (1 NC) and has a reach of 76 inches. When discussing grappling proficiency, Prochazka stops 68% of takedown attempts against him and successfully completes 60% of his own. In contrast, Rountree Jr. completes takedowns on 15% of attempts and defends against 58%. Striking data reveals Prochazka absorbs 5.70 strikes per minute while delivering 5.74 strikes per minute; Rountree Jr., however, absorbs 4.24 and delivers 3.79 strikes per minute.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Magomed Ankalaev (-260)

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Pick: Magomed Ankalaev (-260)
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