Max Holloway vs Dustin Poirier
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Max Holloway is set to clash with Dustin Poirier at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. Betting odds show Holloway at -125 and Poirier at +103.
Max “Blessed” Holloway enters the matchup with a professional record of 26 wins and 8 losses (26-8-0). At 33 years old, he weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 5’11” tall, with a reach of 69 inches. Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier, on the other hand, comes in at 5’9″ and weighs 155 lbs, looking to enhance his career tally of 30-9-0 (1 NC). At 36, he boasts a reach of 72 inches. Holloway averages 7.16 significant strikes landed per minute, compared to Poirier’s 5.30. In terms of striking accuracy, Holloway connects on 47% of attempts while Poirier is at 50%. Holloway receives 4.76 significant strikes per minute, whereas Poirier faces 4.33. Defensively, Holloway deflects 59% of incoming strikes and Poirier manages to defend against 52%.
| UFC 318 | Max Holloway | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -125 | +103 |
| Record | 26-8-0 | 30-9-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 16:05 | 10:17 |
| Height | 5’11” | 5’9″ |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 69″ | 72″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.16 | 5.30 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 50% |
In grappling, Max Holloway shows less proficiency, landing a takedown only 0.25 times per 15 minutes. He succeeds with 53% of his takedown attempts while defending against 83% of his opponent’s attempts. On the flip side, Poirier manages a takedown success rate of 36% and defends 64% of takedowns attempted against him. In terms of submission attempts, Holloway averages 0.3 per 3 rounds, while Poirier attempts 1.3 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his previous fight, Max Holloway took on Ilia Topuria and lost via a punch in the third round. Topuria executed 78 of 147 total strikes, while Holloway connected on 84 of 209. Regarding significant strikes, Topuria landed 75 of 144, achieving 52% accuracy, landing 49 of 114 to the head. Holloway, conversely, landed 38% of his significant strikes, with 79 out of 204, 47 of which were aimed at the head. Notably, all significant strikes from both fighters were recorded at a distance.
Dustin Poirier’s last matchup was against Islam Makhachev, where he lost via a d’arce choke in the fifth round. Makhachev maintained an 80% strike accuracy at distance, while Poirier hit 68% accuracy at the same range. Poirier landed 74 out of 183 total strikes, including 53 head strikes. Makhachev, however, recorded 88 of 156 significant strikes during that fight, maintaining 81% accuracy for strikes aimed at the head, totaling 147 out of 222 strikes he threw, compared to Poirier’s 104 of 218 total strikes.
Other Notable Fights on the Card
Another exciting matchup features Paulo Costa vs. Roman Kopylov. Costa boasts a career record of 14-4-0; the 34-year-old stands 6’1″ and weighs 185 lbs, with a reach of 72 inches. Kopylov, aged 34, stands at 6’0″ and weighs the same, with a reach of 75 inches, looking to enhance his record of 14-3-0. In grappling terms, Costa averages a takedown 0.36 times per 15 minutes, while Kopylov averages 1.17. On the striking front, Costa lands 6.22 strikes per minute with a 58% accuracy rate, while Kopylov connects on 50% of his 4.96 strikes per minute.
Another exciting bout to watch is the matchup between Daniel Rodriguez and Kevin Holland. Holland, aiming for his career win record of 28-13-0 (1 NC), weighs 170 lbs and stands at 6’3″ with an 81-inch reach. Rodriguez, 38, weighs the same but stands slightly shorter at 6’1″ with a reach of 74 inches, and holds a record of 19-5-0. In wrestling, Holland successfully defends 55% of takedown attempts against him while scoring at a 39% rate of his own. Rodriguez proves slightly more successful with takedown attempts at 54% and a 63% defense rate against opponents. For striking, Holland absorbs 3.11 strikes per minute while landing 4.24, while Rodriguez takes 5.39 strikes per minute and lands 7.39 of his own per minute.
Who will prevail in tonight’s UFC event against the spread?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Max Holloway (-125)
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