- Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns
- Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025
- Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: CBS
- Point Spread: Browns (-3)
- Over/Under Total: 40.5
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The Miami Dolphins (1-5) travel to Huntington Bank Field this Sunday, looking to secure a win against the Cleveland Browns (1-5). The Dolphins are opening as 3-point underdogs according to Vegas oddsmakers, with the over/under set at 40.5.
The Dolphins come into this game at 1-5 for the season. Their most recent outing saw them facing off against the Los Angeles Chargers, ending in a narrow defeat with a score of 29-27. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa completed 21 out of 32 passes for 205 yards and one touchdown, but his performance included three interceptions, giving him a quarterback rating of 54.8. Receiver Jaylen Waddle averaged 15.8 yards per catch, totaling 95 yards on six receptions. In the running game, De’Von Achane stood out with 128 yards on 16 carries (averaging 8.0 yards per attempt). Overall, Miami executed 54 plays, accumulating 341 total yards. On the ground, they rushed 21 times for a total of 137 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Defensively, the Dolphins conceded 140 rushing yards on 25 attempts (5.6 yards per carry) and allowed 29 completions on 38 attempts for 263 yards, resulting in a completion percentage of 76.3%.
This season, the Dolphins have accumulated a total of 1,734 yards. They have registered 70 first downs and incurred 38 penalties for a total of 286 yards. In terms of scoring, Miami has achieved 11 passing touchdowns and four rushing touchdowns. However, they have also committed eight turnovers (seven interceptions and one fumble), averaging 91.3 rushing yards per game, ranking them 27th in the NFL. On average, they score 22.3 points per game.
When it comes to yards allowed, Miami has given up 1,325 passing yards so far, ranking them 21st in the league. They allow an average of 220.8 yards per game through the air, with a completion percentage of 74.9%. Defensively, they have conceded a total of 1,011 rushing yards over six games, yielding 11 passing touchdowns and six rushing touchdowns. Overall, they rank 30th in total yardage allowed, giving up an average of 389.3 yards per game and 29.0 points per contest.
The Cleveland Browns enter this matchup with a 1-5 record this season. Their most recent game resulted in a 23-9 loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Running back Quinshon Judkins managed 36 yards on 12 carries, averaging 3.0 yards per carry. In the receiving department, Harold Fannin led the way with seven catches for 81 yards, averaging 11.6 yards per reception. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel finished with 221 passing yards on 29 completions from 52 attempts, achieving a quarterback rating of 66.3 with no interceptions and averaging 4.3 yards per attempt. The Browns’ defense allowed 100 rushing yards on 28 attempts (3.6 yards per carry) and permitted a completion percentage of 70.0%, with 235 yards given up on 21 out of 30 pass attempts. Cleveland managed to generate 248 yards from 69 plays, averaging 3.6 yards per play, while their ground game tallied 65 yards on 17 carries for an average of 3.8 yards per attempt.
The Cleveland Browns are averaging 281.5 total yards per game, placing them 27th in the league. They manage an average of 90.7 rushing yards per game, accumulating 544 rushing yards in total. Their offense has thrown six interceptions and lost two fumbles while achieving 57 first downs. The Browns’ offense has also surrendered 351 yards through penalties, ranking them 15th in the league related to yardage ceded. As for passing, they have recorded 1,145 yards this season, averaging 190.8 passing yards per game, putting them at 26th in the NFL. When it comes to scoring, the Browns are struggling, ranked last with an average of 13.7 points per game.
Defensively, the Browns allow an average of 24.3 points per game, ranking them 21st in the league. They have given up 12 passing touchdowns and an average of 182.7 passing yards per game, ranking them 7th in the league. On the ground, Cleveland has allowed a total of 478 rushing yards this season (79.7 rushing yards per game) and three rushing touchdowns. The Browns’ defense has participated in 338 plays, ranking 7th in the NFL, and has harvested four takeaways during the season, cumulatively allowing 146 points.
Who will prevail in this Sunday matchup between the Dolphins and Browns against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Browns -3 and over 40.5 total points.
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