Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts
Event Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Broadcast: CBS
Point Spread Odds: Colts (-1.5)
Total Points Over/Under: 47
The Miami Dolphins, who finished last season with an 8-9 record, are set to visit Lucas Oil Stadium this Sunday to face the Indianapolis Colts, who also concluded their season with an identical 8-9 record. The Dolphins begin this matchup as 1.5-point underdogs according to Las Vegas odds. The projected total points for the game is set at 47.
Last season, the Miami Dolphins ended with a record of 8-9. In their final matchup, they faced the New York Jets and unfortunately fell short, losing 32-20. Quarterback Tyler Huntley completed 25 of 41 passes for 227 yards and secured 1 touchdown, but had a quarterback rating of 63.8, along with 2 interceptions. Running back De’Von Achane was pivotal on the ground, accumulating 121 yards on 11 carries, averaging an impressive 11.0 yards per attempt. Receiver Jonnu Smith recorded 56 yards on 9 catches, yielding a 6.2-yard average per reception. The Dolphins executed 23 rushing attempts, totaling 135 yards with an average of 5.9 yards per carry. Overall, their offensive effort included 64 plays for a total of 334 yards. On defense, Miami ceded 23 completions on 37 attempts for 257 passing yards, achieving a completion percentage of 62.2%. In terms of rushing defense, they allowed 118 yards on 22 attempts, averaging 5.4 yards per carry.
For those tracking scoring potential, Dolphins games averaged 20.3 points. As a team, they recorded an average of 105.6 rushing yards per game, ranking them 21st in the league. Over the previous season, the Dolphins tallied 5,532 total yards and achieved 221 first downs, while incurring 114 penalties amounting to 926 yards. They committed a total of 21 turnovers (10 interceptions and 11 fumbles). Miami recorded 22 passing touchdowns alongside 12 rushing touchdowns.
From a defensive standpoint, the Dolphins ranked 10th overall in points allowed, giving up an average of 21.4 points per game. They allowed 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and averaged 103.7 rushing yards against them per game last season. In total, Miami conceded 1,763 rushing yards over the full season. Their pass defense yielded 3,582 yards, positioning them 9th in the league. They allowed 210.7 passing yards per game with a completion percentage against of 63.8%. Overall, their defense allowed an average of 314.4 total yards per game, ranking 4th in the NFL, and conceded 22 touchdowns through the air and 12 on the ground.
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The Colts concluded their season also with an 8-9 record. In their final game, they secured a victory against the Jacksonville Jaguars with a score of 26-23. Quarterback Joe Flacco completed 23 of 40 passes for 264 yards, achieving 1 touchdown and a quarterback rating of 85.8, without any interceptions, averaging 6.6 yards per attempt. Jonathan Taylor had a standout performance, rushing 34 times for 177 yards, averaging 5.2 yards per carry. Receiver Josh Downs was a key target, making 10 receptions for 94 yards (averaging 9.4 yards per catch). The Colts averaged 5.2 yards on the ground, totaling 177 rushing yards on the day. They concluded with 429 total yards from 74 plays, averaging 5.8 yards per play. On defense, the Colts allowed a 62.5% completion percentage, yielding 206 yards on 20 of 32 attempts. They faced 34 rushing attempts against, allowing 113 yards (3.3 yards per rush).
In terms of offensive scoring, the Colts ranked 17th in the league, averaging 22.2 points per game. Over the last season, they totaled 3,361 passing yards while averaging 197.7 yards per game, placing them 25th in the NFL. They averaged 137.1 rushing yards per game, accumulating a total of 2,331 rushing yards. The Indianapolis offense averaged 334.8 yards per game, ranking them 13th in the league. The Colts defense faced significant challenges, giving up 684 yards due to 93 penalties, ranking them 30th in the NFL in terms of mistakes.
The Colts’ defense allowed 27 passing touchdowns and 229.4 passing yards per game, positioning them 26th in professional football. They also surrendered a total of 2,241 rushing yards (131.8 yards against per game), including 18 rushing touchdowns last season. Their defense recorded 25 turnovers, comprising both fumbles and interceptions. The Colts were on the field for 1,112 plays, ranking 29th in the league in total plays. They allowed an average of 25.1 points per game, ranking 24th in the NFL.
Who will prevail in this thrilling Dolphins vs Colts matchup against the point spread?
Expert Prediction: Opt for the Dolphins +1.5
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