- Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Line: Steelers favored by 3.5 points
- Over/Under Total: 42 points
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This Monday, the Miami Dolphins (6-7) visit Acrisure Stadium in hopes of securing a victory against the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6). Miami enters as 3.5-point underdogs, with the over/under set at 42 points.
The Dolphins come into this contest with a record of 6-7 this season. In their previous matchup, they triumphed over the New York Jets, winning decisively with a score of 34-10. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa completed 13 of 21 passes for 127 yards and 1 touchdown, achieving a quarterback rating of 94.7 while avoiding interceptions. Wide receiver Jaylen Waddle recorded 50 yards on 5 catches, averaging 10.0 yards per reception. On the ground, Jaylen Wright led the team with 24 carries for 107 yards, averaging 4.5 yards per attempt. The Dolphins executed 62 plays for a total of 358 yards, rushing 41 times for 239 yards (5.8 yards per rush). Defensively, Miami allowed 65 yards on 17 rushing attempts (3.8 yards per carry) and conceded 15 pass completions on 34 attempts for 142 yards with a completion rate of 44.1%.
This season, the Dolphins have amassed 3,960 total yards. The team has achieved 132 first downs and incurred 75 penalties totaling 631 yards. In scoring terms, Miami has tallied 18 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 18 times (14 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost), averaging 126.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 8th in the league. The Dolphins’ offense averages 21.6 points per game.
Concerning pass defense, Miami has allowed 2,634 passing yards this season, earning a ranking of 12th in the NFL. Their average of 202.6 passing yards allowed per game and a completion percentage of 69.9% indicates some vulnerabilities. In total, they have given up 1,715 rushing yards over 13 games, including 20 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. The Dolphins rank 19th in total yardage allowed, with an average of 334.5 yards per game, and they yield 4.8 yards per rush and 131.9 rushing yards per game this season. Miami ranks 15th in points allowed, giving up an average of 22.8 points per game.
On the other side, the Steelers enter this game with a 7-6 record. In their last appearance, they emerged victorious against the Baltimore Ravens, winning 27-22. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers threw for 284 yards on 23 completions out of 34 attempts, recording 1 touchdown and posting a quarterback rating of 103.1 without any interceptions. D.K. Metcalf led the receiving corps with 7 catches for 148 yards (21.1 yards per reception). Running back Jaylen Warren contributed 8 carries for only 13 yards, averaging 1.6 yards per attempt. Overall, Pittsburgh managed 318 yards on 51 plays (6.2 yards per play) but struggled in the running game, averaging just 2.0 yards per attempt with a total of 34 rushing yards on 17 attempts. Their defense conceded 40 rush attempts totaling 217 yards (5.4 yards per carry) and limited the Ravens to a 54.3% completion rate, allowing 203 passing yards on 19 completions from 35 attempts.
The Steelers average 284.5 yards of offense per game, ranking 27th in the league. Their rushing attack averages 89.2 yards per game and has accumulated a total of 1,160 rushing yards this season. Pittsburgh has committed 9 turnovers on interceptions and 5 on fumbles, securing 112 first downs. The Steelers’ offense has been penalized for 610 yards over 80 infractions, ranking them 24th in the NFL for penalties. This season, they have passed for 2,538 yards, averaging 195.2 yards per game, placing them 23rd overall. In terms of scoring, the Steelers rank 14th, averaging 23.7 points per game.
Defensively, the Steelers have surrendered 21 passing touchdowns and an average of 244.0 passing yards per game, ranking 28th. They have allowed a total of 1,629 rushing yards (125.3 yards per game) and 10 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has produced 23 takeaways (12 forced fumbles and 11 interceptions), allowing a total of 311 points. With 897 plays from scrimmage, their defensive unit ranks 32nd in the NFL, giving up an average of 23.9 points per game, positioning them 19th overall.
Which team will cover the spread in this Dolphins-Steelers matchup?
Prediction: Bet on the Steelers -3.5
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