Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Event Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025
Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
Betting Odds: Miami (-275) Atlanta (+220)
On Saturday, the Atlanta Braves (47-66) will host the Miami Marlins (56-57) at Truist Park. The moneyline for this matchup lists the Marlins at -275, while the Braves are set at +220. The total runs projected for this game is 9, with Sandy Alcantara and Erick Fedde serving as the starting pitchers.
This season, the Marlins have recorded 190 doubles and hit 111 home runs. Their slugging percentage stands at .398, with the squad accumulating 896 strikeouts and drawing 343 walks. Averaging 4.3 runs per game, Miami ranks 19th in MLB. They have tallied 467 RBIs and 972 total hits in the current season, while their batting average rests at .252. The Marlins have scored 486 runs, supported by a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .316.
On the pitching front, the Marlins have posted a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.43, ranking 24th in the league, and have struck out 892 batters. The pitching staff has allowed 119 home runs and 534 runs overall, also ranking 24th in MLB. With 351 walks, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) sits at 4.06. Miami has permitted 962 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 495 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.31.
The Marlins’ bullpen has faced runners on base 86 times and entered 120 high leverage situations, gaining 65 holds this season (ranking 14th in the league). Their save percentage stands at 61.7%, with the bullpen achieving 29 saves in 113 chances. So far, 18 saves have been blown out of 47 opportunities. The Marlins’ relievers have inherited 124 baserunners, 31.5% of whom have scored. Over the season, 352 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Miami.
Defensively, Miami has converted 69.5% of batted balls into outs across their 9,057 innings, placing them 19th in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers come in with 3,019 putouts along with 987 assists and 57 errors. The Marlins have a fielding percentage of .986, ranking them 18th, along with 80 double plays.
Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has logged 1,016 innings, notching 875 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.68 (allowing 415 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.188. Alcantara has given up 891 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and 316 walks. With a career win-loss record of 47-65, he boasts a FIP of 3.62 and has faced 4,192 batters in the majors.
The Braves, on the other hand, have a slugging percentage of .388 and average 4.14 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 168 doubles, drawn 405 walks, and scored 468 runs. Atlanta has 123 home runs and 454 RBIs, along with 986 strikeouts (ranking 11th in the league) and 928 total hits. Their OBP is .317, complemented by a .241 batting average this season.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.288 and a FIP of 4.09, creating a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.00 (1,005 strikeouts to 380 walks). Currently, they rank 8th in MLB for total hits allowed with 907, yielding 131 home runs and permitting 4.49 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Braves’ pitching unit has given up 498 runs this year, with a team ERA of 4.23 (470 earned runs allowed).
In terms of their bullpen, the Braves have encountered 75 save situations, achieving 42 holds but suffering 16 blown saves. In 33 save chances, they have recorded 17 successful saves. Their relievers have appeared 115 times in critical situations and 119 times with runners on base. Atlanta’s bullpen has an inherited runs scoring percentage of 39.0%, ranking them 27th in the league with a save percentage of 51.5%. Thus far, 365 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Atlanta this season.
Defensively, the Braves have turned 75 double plays and maintain a .991 fielding percentage (2nd in MLB). They have accumulated 972 assists, committed 38 errors, and completed 2,999 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 70.1%, ranking 13th among professional baseball teams over their 8,997 innings played.
Erick Fedde has faced 3,225 hitters during his MLB career, allowing 769 hits and striking out 572 batters in 742 innings. He has given up 404 earned runs, achieved a WHIP of 1.432, and has a FIP of 4.80. His career showcases a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.95, and he has a 4.90 ERA while giving up 9.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who will secure victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Miami (-275)
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