Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Forecast, 7/12/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Forecast, 7/12/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles

Scheduled Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Broadcast: MASN

Betting Odds: Miami (+120) Baltimore (-144)

On Saturday, the Baltimore Orioles (42-50) will face off against the Miami Marlins (42-50) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Currently, the moneyline for Miami stands at +120, while Baltimore is positioned at -144. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers are anticipated to be Janson Junk and Trevor Rogers.

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This season, the Marlins have totaled 153 doubles and launched 81 home runs. They boast a slugging percentage of .388, with 736 strikeouts and 276 walks drawn. Collectively, Miami Marlins are averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking 18th in the league. They have achieved 373 RBIs and have recorded 793 hits, resulting in a batting average of .252. The team has scored a total of 389 runs, holding a collective on-base percentage of .314.

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The Marlins currently possess a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.66, positioning them 26th in the league. Their pitching staff has registered 730 strikeouts while allowing 103 home runs and 457 total runs (24th in MLB). Their pitchers have issued 300 walks, with a team FIP of 4.18 this season. Miami has yielded 798 hits (8.8 per nine innings) and 424 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.34.

Miami’s bullpen has faced opponents on base 79 times, making 100 appearances in critical situations. The relievers have garnered 49 holds this season (21st in MLB) and achieved a save percentage of 61.1%, converting 22 saves out of 36 opportunities. With 115 runners inherited, 31.3% have scored. This season, a total of 296 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Marlins.

In their 7,371 innings played, the Marlins have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs, ranking 20th in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the league with 2,457 putouts and 807 assists, along with 48 errors. The team’s fielding percentage stands at .986, positioned 20th in the majors, with 63 double plays recorded.

Janson Junk has pitched 83 innings throughout his career, achieving 70 strikeouts. With a career ERA of 4.87 (45 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.396, he has given up 101 hits (10.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 15 walks. Junk holds a 4-4 lifetime record, with a FIP of 4.80 against 360 batters faced in the major leagues.

As for the Orioles, they have tallied 110 home runs this season and 365 RBIs, along with 144 doubles, 261 walks, and 387 runs scored. The Baltimore Orioles maintain a team on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .239. The team slugging percentage is recorded at .400, averaging 4.21 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have struck out 808 times (10th in the league) and collected 737 hits.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.411 and a FIP of 4.44 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.50 (761 strikeouts to 298 walks). They rank 28th in the league for total hits surrendered with 845, allowing 126 home runs and averaging 5.15 runs per nine innings (27th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff has conceded 464 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.88 (with 439 earned runs allowed).

This season, the Orioles’ relief pitchers have entered 35 save opportunities and successfully converted 23 saves, achieving a save percentage of 65.7% (11th in MLB). A total of 327 relievers have made appearances, including 98 in high-pressure situations and 105 with runners on base. The Baltimore bullpen has inherited 137 runners, with an inherited score percentage of 18.2%. Of the 107 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 69 holds but have experienced 12 blown saves.

In their 7,293 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (29th in the league). They have recorded 65 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .985 (23rd in the majors). So far, the Orioles have achieved 802 assists, committed 50 errors, and accumulated 2,431 putouts this season.

Trevor Rogers has allowed 428 hits throughout his MLB career while striking out 442 batters over 438 innings. With a career record of 17-34, Rogers holds a 4.19 ERA, allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 204 earned runs while achieving a WHIP of 1.373 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.54 after facing 1,908 batters to date in his career.

Which team will triumph in today’s MLB clash, spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Miami (+120)

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