Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Broadcast: CLEGuardians.TV
Betting Odds: Miami (+126) Cleveland (-152)
On Tuesday, the Cleveland Guardians (61-56) will host the Miami Marlins (57-61) at Progressive Field. The betting lines show Miami at +126 and Cleveland at -152, with a total set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for the game will be Janson Junk and Logan Allen.
Offensively, the Miami Marlins average 4.3 runs per game, ranking 19th in MLB. They have accumulated 505 runs this season, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .315. The team has hit 196 doubles and launched 113 home runs. So far, they have recorded 486 RBIs and 1,011 hits, with a batting average of .251. Their slugging percentage stands at .394, with 930 strikeouts and 356 walks on the year.
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The Miami Marlins currently hold a team ERA of 4.52, placing them 24th in the league. Their pitching staff has struck out 931 batters while allowing 129 home runs and a total of 565 runs (also 24th overall). They’ve issued 369 walks, and their FIP is 4.14 on the season. Miami pitchers have allowed 1,003 hits, averaging 8.6 hits per 9 innings, leading to 526 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.52, and they have a WHIP of 1.31.
The Marlins’ bullpen has converted 60.4% of save opportunities, entering 115 situations. They’ve inherited 129 base runners this year, with 31.0% of them scoring. The relief staff has faced players on base 89 times and participated in 123 high-leverage scenarios. A total of 365 relief pitchers have appeared for the Marlins, accumulating 66 holds (15th in the league) and tallying 29 saves from 48 chances.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have recorded 3,142 putouts, along with 1,016 assists and 59 errors this season. With a fielding percentage of .986, they rank 18th in Major League Baseball, executing 83 double plays. Miami has converted 69.6% of balls put into play into outs during their 9,426 innings, placing them 18th in the majors.
Pitcher Janson Junk has thrown 110 innings in his MLB career, earning 84 strikeouts. With a career win-loss record of 7-5, his FIP stands at 4.91 against 472 batters. Junk’s ERA is 4.99 (allowing 61 earned runs) and he has a WHIP of 1.362, giving up 131 hits at a rate of 10.7 hits per nine innings and issuing 19 walks.
The Guardians have a team slugging percentage of .377, averaging 3.98 runs per game (26th in MLB). They’ve achieved 178 doubles, recorded 375 walks, and scored a total of 466 runs. Cleveland has hit 123 home runs and compiled 448 RBIs so far this season. They’ve struck out 957 times (18th in MLB) and accumulated 879 hits, holding an OBP of .301 and batting average of .228.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.297 and a FIP of 4.08. Ranking 7th in total hits allowed with 938, they have conceded 485 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.83 (with 443 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is notably strong at 8.50 (987 strikeouts to 412 walks). They’ve allowed 126 home runs and give up 4.19 runs per 9 innings, ranking 11th in MLB.
The Guardians’ bullpen has a 35.9% score percentage from inherited runners out of 142 situations. They’ve been on the mound 137 times in high-pressure situations and 102 times with runners on base. Across 137 save opportunities this season, Cleveland has achieved 83 holds and faced 16 blown saves. Their save rate of 68.6% ranks 4th in MLB, having used 390 relief pitchers.
Cleveland has recorded 88 double plays this season and holds a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors). They have 961 assists, 77 errors, and accumulated 3,125 putouts during the season. In 9,375 innings, the Guardians showcase a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball).
Logan Allen maintains a career record of 22-22 with a 4.43 ERA, yielding 9.4 hits per nine innings. With a K/BB ratio of 2.14, he has faced 1,455 batters throughout his tenure. Allen has surrendered 165 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.446 and a FIP of 4.4. In his MLB career, he has given up 352 hits and struck out 285 batters across 335 innings pitched.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick from Guy Bruhn: Favor Cleveland (-152)
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