Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Forecast, 7/26/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Matchup: Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Event Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025

Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Betting Odds: Miami (+110) Milwaukee (-132)

The Milwaukee Brewers (61-41) are set to face off against the Miami Marlins (48-53) at American Family Field this Saturday. The moneyline for the matchup places the Marlins at +110, while the Brewers are favored at -132. The over/under for the game is established at 9 runs. Pitching duties will be handled by Janson Junk for Miami and Jose Quintana for Milwaukee.

The Marlins have accumulated a total of 169 doubles and hit 92 home runs throughout the season. With a slugging percentage of .392, they have been called out on strikes 796 times while earning 298 walks. As a collective, the Miami Marlins are generating 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 18th in the league. They have achieved 414 RBIs and 874 hits this season, with a team batting average of .253. The squad has scored 431 runs and holds a .315 on-base percentage.

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The Marlins currently maintain a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.48, placing them 24th in MLB standings. Their pitching staff has recorded 791 strikeouts and yielded 108 home runs and a total of 485 runs (also ranked 24th in MLB). With 316 walks issued to opposing hitters, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.09 for the season. Miami’s pitchers have allowed 863 hits, averaging 8.6 hits per 9 innings, contributing to 448 earned runs, and they hold a K/BB ratio of 2.50. The team’s WHIP is currently at 1.31.

Marlins relievers have entered 82 games with runners on base and have appeared in 110 high-leverage situations this season. Their bullpen has recorded 56 holds (17th in MLB) and a save rate of 61.0%, with 98 save opportunities leading to 25 saves, but missing out on 16 of the 41 chances. This season, 30.5% of the 118 inherited runners have scored against Marlins relievers. A total of 319 relievers have taken the mound for Miami this year.

The defensive performance of the Marlins includes 2,700 putouts, 888 assists, and 51 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .986, which ranks 16th in MLB, alongside 71 double plays. Miami has converted 69.6% of balls in play to outs across 8,100 innings, placing them 18th in the league for defensive efficiency.

Janson Junk has pitched 95 innings, achieving 73 strikeouts in his professional baseball career. He has a career ERA of 4.64 (49 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.346, allowing 112 hits (10.6 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 16 walks. Junk holds a career record of 5-5 and a FIP of 4.57 while facing 409 major league hitters.

The Brewers boast a slugging percentage of .383 and are averaging 4.79 runs per game, ranking 6th in MLB. They have recorded 147 doubles and earned 345 walks, scoring a total of 489 runs. Milwaukee has hit 96 homers this season and logged 455 RBIs. Their strikeout total stands at 813 (20th in the league) along with 858 hits, yielding a .324 on-base percentage and a .250 team batting average for the season.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 391 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 3.59 and conceding 107 home runs, averaging 3.88 runs per 9 innings (ranking 4th in MLB). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.229 and a FIP of 3.90. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80, with 882 strikeouts compared to 332 walks, ranking them 5th in the league for total hits allowed with a total of 782.

In save situations, Milwaukee has called upon their relievers 40 times, converting 28 into successful saves, placing them 5th in MLB with a 70.0% save rate. They have utilized 351 bullpen pitchers this year, with 117 appearances in critical moments and 93 occurrences with runners on base. The inherited scores percentage for their bullpen stands at 31.7% from 139 inherited runners. With 115 save opportunities, the Brewers have achieved 73 holds, giving up 12 blown saves.

The Brewers have executed 73 double plays and achieved a .987 fielding percentage, which ranks 12th in the majors. Their stats include 814 assists, 48 errors, and 2,719 putouts throughout the season. Over 8,157 innings, Milwaukee’s defensive efficiency stands at 71.0% (9th in MLB).

Quintana maintains a 109-106 lifetime record with a 3.73 ERA, allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His career K/BB ratio is 2.86, having faced 8,582 batters. With 849 earned runs permitted, he has a WHIP of 1.278 and a FIP of 3.7. Throughout his career, Quintana has allowed 1,993 hits and accumulated 1,780 strikeouts over 2,046 innings pitched.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Miami (+110)

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