Matchup: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Event Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Miami (+132) New York (-160)
The Miami Marlins (62-71) are gearing up for a showdown against the New York Mets (72-61) this Friday at Citi Field. Current betting odds reflect the Marlins at +132 while the Mets are favored at -160, with an over/under set at 8.5. Starting pitchers for this contest are Eury Perez and David Peterson.
The Marlins have posted a slugging percentage of .393 with 1,041 strikeouts and 398 walks. They have a total of 542 RBIs alongside 1,131 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .249. Miami’s collective effort has resulted in 218 doubles and 128 home runs, amassing 567 runs scored with an on-base percentage of .313. The team averages 4.3 runs per game, ranking 19th in the league.
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The Marlins’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.30. They have allowed 149 home runs and 650 total runs, ranking 24th in the majors. With 1,119 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 601 earned runs, the Marlins carry a team ERA of 4.58 (25th overall) and have struck out 1,047 batters. The staff has walked 417 opponents, yielding a FIP of 4.21 for the season.
This season, Marlins relief pitchers have entered with opponents on base 103 times and have had 145 high-leverage appearances, achieving 71 holds (20th in the league). Their save rate stands at 62.7%, tallying 32 saves from 51 opportunities, while allowing 32.5% of inherited runners to score from a total of 151 inherited base runners. Over the course of the season, they have utilized 410 different relief pitchers.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have reported 3,544 putouts this season, along with 1,139 assists and 65 errors. Their current fielding percentage is at .986, ranking 17th in professional baseball, while executing 91 double plays. The Marlins convert 70.0% of balls in play into outs across 10,632 innings, holding the 14th position in the league.
Regarding Perez, his career record stands at 11-9 with a FIP of 3.24. He has faced 654 batters in the majors, allowing 116 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) with 56 walks. He maintains an ERA of 3.29 (allowing 59 earned runs) and has a career WHIP of 1.066 across 161 innings, registering 178 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Mets boast a slugging percentage of .424 and score an average of 4.65 runs per game, ranking 10th in MLB. They have achieved 217 doubles and drawn 466 walks, accumulating 618 runs. With 177 home runs and 603 RBIs, they hold a team OBP of .327 and a batting average of .249 this season, having struck out 1,065 times (21st in MLB) with 1,110 hits.
On the pitcher’s side, the Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 3.86. They rank 10th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,070) and have relinquished 554 runs this season, sporting a team ERA of 3.80 (497 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is a solid 8.70 (1,141 strikeouts compared to 469 walks), conceding 119 home runs and allowing 4.23 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).
Mets relievers have also managed an inherited scoring percentage of 34.4%, facing 209 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have appeared 161 times in high-leverage situations and 141 times with runners on base. They have logged 84 holds and suffered 23 blown saves from 143 save chances, ranking 21st in the league with a 61.0% save rate. This season, they have used 434 bullpen pitchers.
Defensively, the New York Mets have executed 98 double plays and maintained a fielding percentage of .987, placing them 9th in MLB. They likewise reported 1,199 assists, 60 errors, and 3,534 putouts. Over 10,602 innings played, their defensive efficiency is 69.5% (20th in the majors).
Peterson, holding a career win-loss record of 36-29, has allowed 560 hits and totaled 599 strikeouts across 604 innings. He features a 3.86 earned run average, yielding 8.3 hits per nine innings, along with 259 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.344 and FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 with 2,573 batters faced in his professional career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Miami (+132)
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