Matchup: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Miami (+102) New York (-122)
The Miami Marlins (62-71) are set to face off against the New York Mets (72-61) at Citi Field this Saturday. The betting lines feature Miami at +102 and New York at -122, with a total score set at 8.5. Scheduled to pitch are Edward Cabrera and David Peterson.
This season, the Marlins have achieved 218 doubles and hit 128 home runs, showcasing a slugging percentage of .393. They’ve recorded 1,041 strikeouts compared to 398 walks, averaging 4.3 runs per game, positioning them at 19th in the league. With 542 RBIs and 1,131 hits, their batting average stands at .249, resulting in a total of 567 runs and a .313 on-base percentage.
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The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.58, ranking 25th in the league, with a total of 1,047 strikeouts. Their pitching staff has allowed 149 home runs and a total of 650 runs, placing them at 24th in MLB. They’ve issued 417 walks and hold a FIP of 4.21. Miami has surrendered 1,119 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) along with 601 earned runs, leading to a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.30.
The Marlins’ bullpen has faced players on base 103 times and has entered high-pressure situations 145 times this season, securing 71 holds (20th in MLB). They maintain a 62.7% save percentage with 32 saves out of 51 opportunities. Relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners, with 32.5% scoring. So far, the Marlins have utilized 410 relief appearances.
The team has logged 3,544 putouts, 1,139 assists, and 65 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .986, which ranks 17th in the league. They have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs over 10,632 innings, placing them 14th in professional baseball.
Cabrera, with a career record of 24-29, holds a FIP of 3.96 after facing 1,784 batters. He has allowed 334 hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 209 walks, with a career ERA of 4.02 (187 earned runs). Over 418 innings pitched, he has achieved 464 strikeouts and holds a career WHIP of 1.298.
The Mets are currently achieving a team slugging percentage of .424, averaging 4.65 runs per game, putting them 10th in the MLB. With 217 doubles, they have drawn 466 walks and scored 618 runs. New York has also hit 177 home runs and secured 603 RBIs. They’ve struck out 1,065 times (21st in MLB) and have 1,110 hits this season, maintaining a .327 on-base percentage and a batting average of .249.
The Mets’ pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 3.86. They rank 10th in hits allowed, having permitted 1,070 this season, while posting an ERA of 3.80 (497 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.70, tallying 1,141 strikeouts against 469 walks. They’ve allowed 119 home runs and yield 4.23 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).
New York’s bullpen has been called upon for 59 save opportunities, successfully converting 36, ranking 21st in save percentage at 61.0%. Relievers have made 434 appearances, stepping onto the mound 161 times under high-leverage circumstances and 141 times with runners on base. They have inherited 209 runners, with a scoring rate of 34.4%. The Mets have achieved 84 holds and incurred 23 blown saves while navigating 143 save situations this season.
In their 10,602 innings in the field, the Mets have accomplished a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in MLB). They’ve turned 98 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 9th in the league. Overall, they’ve registered 1,199 assists, 60 errors, and 3,534 putouts this year.
In his career, Peterson has surrendered 560 hits and accumulated 599 strikeouts across 604 innings. He has allowed 259 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.344 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.38, having faced 2,573 batters with a career record of 36-29 and an ERA of 3.86, allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Miami (+102)
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