- Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Current Odds: Miami (+162), Philadelphia (-196)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The Philadelphia Phillies (92-65) are set to face off against the Miami Marlins (77-80) at Citizens Bank Park this Thursday. With the Marlins lined at +162 and the Phillies at -196, the over/under is pegged at 8.5 runs. Pitching will feature Janson Junk for Miami and Taijuan Walker for Philadelphia.
The Marlins have tallied 268 doubles and hit 153 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .397, they’ve fanned 1,214 times and drawn 470 walks. As a team, the Marlins are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking 15th in MLB. They’ve scored a total of 666 runs with 1,358 hits, holding a team batting average of .252. Their on-base percentage stands at .315.
The Marlins’ pitchers are averaging a K/BB ratio of 2.56 with a WHIP of 1.30. They’ve surrendered 189 home runs and allowed 779 runs, placing them 26th in the league. The Marlins have given up 1,338 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 719 earned runs, presenting a collective ERA of 4.62 (25th in MLB). With 1,243 strikeouts, their FIP this season stands at 4.32.
The Miami bullpen has a save rate of 63.9% from 148 save opportunities. Relief pitchers have inherited 178 runners, with a 30.9% scoring rate. The Marlins have deployed 498 relievers this season, securing 85 holds (17th in the league) and recording 39 saves with 22 blown saves from 61 chances.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have recorded 4,201 putouts this season, along with 1,346 assists and 82 errors, holding a .985 fielding percentage (17th in MLB) and turning 103 double plays. The Marlins have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs, sitting 15th in MLB.
Janson Junk (7-6 career record) comes into this game with a FIP of 4.89, having faced 617 batters. He’s allowed 167 hits (10.4 hits per nine innings) and issued 24 walks. His career ERA is 4.96 from 80 earned runs allowed, with a WHIP of 1.316 over 145 innings pitched and 107 career strikeouts.
The Philadelphia Phillies are boasting an on-base percentage of .330 and a batting average of .260. They’ve struck out 1,280 times (ranked 20th) and accumulated 1,390 hits. The Phillies have hit 202 home runs and driven in 736 runs this season. Their slugging percentage is .431, with an average of 4.85 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have racked up 265 doubles and drawn 519 walks, scoring a total of 761 runs.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.245 and a FIP of 3.75. Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 9.10 (1,417 strikeouts to 424 walks). They rank 20th in giving up total hits, with 1,312 allowed, and have surrendered 173 home runs while allowing 4.13 runs per 9 innings (8th overall). The Phillies’ team ERA is 3.87, allowing 640 runs this season with 600 earned runs.
With 72 save opportunities, the Phillies’ relievers have recorded 45 saves, ranking 18th in save percentage at 62.5%. A total of 491 relief pitchers have taken the mound this season, with 174 entering in high-leverage situations. Their inherited runners’ scoring percentage is 32.4%, from 148 inherited situations. Philadelphia has 81 holds and 27 blown saves from 156 save opportunities this year.
In 12,549 defensive innings, the Phillies have achieved a 69.0% defensive efficiency (22nd in MLB). They have executed 100 double plays and have an impressive fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB), recording 1,346 assists and 60 errors with 4,183 putouts this season.
Taijuan Walker (77-71 career record) possesses a 4.20 ERA, allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 after facing 5,408 batters in his career, allowing 594 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.286 and a FIP of 4.1. Over his MLB tenure, Walker has issued 1,209 hits while notching 1,083 strikeouts across 1,274 innings.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Back Miami (+162)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
