Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Forecast, 9/1/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Forecast, 9/1/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Scheduled Date: Monday, September 1, 2025

Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

Broadcast: MASN

Betting Odds: Miami (-160) Washington (+132)

In a key matchup, the Washington Nationals (53-80) will face off against the Miami Marlins (63-71) at Nationals Park this Monday. The moneyline for this game has Miami positioned at -160 while Washington stands at +132. The over/under is set at 9. The anticipated starting pitchers are Ryan Gusto and MacKenzie Gore.

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The Miami Marlins are currently hitting .392 with a total of 1,046 strikeouts, complemented by 401 walks drawn. They have accumulated 547 RBIs, alongside 1,140 hits this season, resulting in a team batting average of .249. The Marlins have achieved 218 doubles and 128 home runs, scoring a total of 574 runs with an on-base percentage of .313. On average, the Marlins are scoring 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 19th in Major League Baseball.

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With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.52, the Marlins’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. To date, Marlins pitchers have allowed 150 home runs and 654 runs in total (25th in the league). They have given up 1,127 hits, averaging 8.5 per 9 innings, with 605 earned runs contributing to a team ERA of 4.57 this season (25th in MLB). The staff has struck out 1,057 batters while issuing 420 walks, leading to a FIP of 4.20 on the season.

Marlins pitchers have encountered opponents on base 104 times and faced 145 pressure situations. Their bullpen has recorded 72 holds (18th in MLB) and a save rate of 63.5%, having entered 125 save situations. With 33 saves against 19 blown chances, the bullpen has inherited 152 runners, of which 32.2% have scored. A total of 414 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Miami this season.

Defensively, the Marlins have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs over their 10,632 innings, placing them 14th in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the league with 3,544 putouts, in addition to 1,139 assists and 65 errors. The Marlins’ fielding percentage remains at .986, ranking 17th in pro baseball, with 91 double plays completed.

Gusto has pitched 101 innings, achieving 97 strikeouts in his MLB career. With a career win-loss record of 7-7, he has a FIP of 5.61 after facing 453 batters. His ERA stands at 5.69 (64 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.472, having allowed 113 hits (10.0 hits per 9 innings) and 36 walks.

On the other hand, the Washington Nationals have recorded 126 home runs this season, contributing to 543 RBIs. This year, they have notched 219 doubles, drawn 382 walks, and scored 565 runs. The Nationals hold an on-base percentage of .309 and a team batting average of .243. Their slugging percentage stands at .387, with an average of 4.25 runs per game, placing them 21st in the league. With 1,062 strikeouts (24th in MLB), they have compiled 1,084 hits.

As a pitching staff, the Nationals maintain a team WHIP of 1.451, along with a FIP of 4.69. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.80 shows 1,014 strikeouts against 456 walks. Ranking 29th in total hits allowed with 1,234, they have surrendered 174 home runs and allowed 5.69 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). Their cumulative ERA sits at 5.38 (697 earned runs).

The Nationals’ bullpen has had 41 save opportunities with 26 successful saves, ranking 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.4%. They have used 469 bullpen pitchers this season. Their relievers have faced 101 high-pressure situations and 132 instances with runners on base, yielding a score from 39.7% of 224 inherited runners. In total, they have achieved 55 holds and have blown 15 saves out of 97 save opportunities.

Defensively, the Nationals have completed 103 double plays and hold a .985 fielding percentage (20th in the majors). With 1,129 assists, 71 errors, and 3,496 putouts, they maintain a defensive efficiency of 67.9% over 10,488 innings (29th in professional baseball).

Over his MLB career, Gore has allowed 513 hits with 577 strikeouts in 519 innings. Holding a career record of 26-39, he boasts a 4.19 ERA, allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings. With 242 earned runs against him, he has a WHIP of 1.400 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.70 against 2,247 batters over the course of his professional career.

Which team will triumph in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or on the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Washington (+132)

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