Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Broadcast: Sportsnet
Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-182) Toronto (+150)
At Rogers Centre, the Toronto Blue Jays (78-56) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (83-51) on Friday. The moneyline for this contest lists the Brewers at -182 and the Blue Jays at +150. The total runs scored for this game is set at 8.5, with Freddy Peralta and Shane Bieber taking the mound.
This season, the Brewers have amassed 216 doubles and hit 143 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .406, they’ve also struck out 1,047 times but have walked 465 times. Milwaukee ranks third in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game, contributing to a total of 636 RBIs and 1,174 hits, while holding a .258 batting average and a team OBP of .332.
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The Brewers maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.65, while the pitching staff sports a WHIP of 1.23. They’ve allowed 146 home runs and 523 runs total, ranking 4th in MLB. Milwaukee has given up 1,025 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 479 earned runs. Their team earned run average stands at 3.61, placing them 3rd in the league, and they’ve struck out 1,178 batters in total. Their pitchers have issued 444 walks, and the team’s FIP is 3.97 this season.
Brewers’ relief pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 120 times and have appeared in high-leverage spots 157 times. They have recorded 95 holds this season, which ranks 2nd in the league. With a save percentage of 67.9%, they’ve entered 155 save situations, achieving 38 saves and experiencing 18 blown saves. Throughout the season, they have inherited 181 runners, with 30.9% of them scoring. This year, the Brewers have dispatched 455 relief pitchers to the mound.
Out of 10,743 innings played, the Brewers have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs, ranking 4th in MLB. The Miami Marlins trail them with 3,581 putouts, alongside 1,063 assists and 61 errors. Holding a fielding percentage of .987, they sit 10th in baseball and have executed 93 double plays.
Freddy Peralta has pitched for 901 innings, accumulating 1,109 strikeouts in his professional career. With a career record of 68-41, his FIP is 3.56, while facing 3,738 hitters in the majors. His earned run average stands at 3.61 (362 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.139. Peralta has allowed 676 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and walked 351 batters.
The Toronto Blue Jays possess a team on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .268 this season. However, they have struck out 900 times (last in the league) while recording 1,228 hits. With 162 home runs and 640 RBIs, their slugging percentage is .431, and they average 4.96 runs per game, placing them 5th in the majors. The Blue Jays have hit 242 doubles, walked 439 times, and scored 664 runs.
Toronto’s pitching staff has conceded 604 runs this year, with a team ERA of 4.22 (558 earned runs). They have yielded 182 home runs and allow 4.57 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The team WHIP stands at 1.264, with a FIP of 4.37 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.00 (1,188 strikeouts vs. 429 walks), ranking them 11th in terms of total hits allowed with 1,074.
The Blue Jays’ relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.2% from their 202 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have appeared 137 times in high-stakes situations and 141 times with runners on base. With 144 save situations, Toronto has accumulated 81 holds along with 22 blown saves. They rank 14th in MLB with a 63.3% save rate, having used 463 bullpen pitchers so far this season. The team has converted 38 saves out of 60 save opportunities.
In 10,707 innings, the Blue Jays boast a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (11th in professional baseball). They’ve turned 94 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .984, ranking 24th in the majors. This season, Toronto has notched 1,012 assists, 75 errors, and recorded 3,569 putouts.
Throughout his career, Shane Bieber has allowed 754 hits and has accumulated 967 strikeouts over 849 innings. Bieber holds a career record of 63-32, with a 3.21 ERA, allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 303 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.110 and a FIP of 3.2. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 5.14, he has faced 3,436 hitters during his MLB tenure.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Milwaukee (-182)
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