Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh
Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-210) Pittsburgh (+172)
The Milwaukee Brewers (86-55) are set to visit PNC Park this Sunday to clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-77). The odds favor Milwaukee at -210, while Pittsburgh is listed at +172. The total for this game is set at 8 runs, with Jacob Misiorowski and Carmen Mlodzinski projected as the starting pitchers.
The Brewers are currently averaging 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 2nd in Major League Baseball. They have amassed 717 runs total, maintaining an on-base percentage of .332. Milwaukee has recorded 229 doubles and 152 home runs this season, along with 667 RBIs and a total of 1,240 hits, resulting in a batting average of .259. Their slugging percentage stands at .408 with 1,102 strikeouts and 486 walks drawn.
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As a pitching unit, the Brewers boast a team ERA of 3.63, placing them 2nd in the league. Their pitchers have struck out 1,234 batters and surrendered 148 home runs and 555 runs (4th in MLB). They’ve issued 466 walks, with a FIP of 3.95 for the season. Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 1,089 hits (with a rate of 7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 507 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.65, and a collective WHIP of 1.24.
The Brewers’ pitchers have faced runners on base 126 times, and they’ve entered 165 high-leverage situations. Their bullpen has achieved 97 holds this season, ranking 2nd in MLB. Milwaukee’s bullpen has a save rate of 67.8%, having been called into 160 save opportunities, converting 40 of them while missing 19. The relief staff has inherited 188 runners this campaign, with 30.3% scoring. A total of 479 relief pitchers have seen action this season.
In terms of fielding, the Brewers have turned 70.8% of batted balls into outs over 11,301 innings, ranking them 6th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have recorded 3,767 putouts so far, in addition to 1,127 assists and committing 64 errors. Milwaukee’s fielding percentage is .987, placing them 10th overall in the league, and they have turned 104 double plays.
Misiorowski has pitched for 48 innings in his MLB career, achieving 69 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.50 (allowing 24 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.146. He has given up 33 hits (6.2 hits per 9 innings) and issued 22 walks. Misiorowski has a career record of 4-2 and a FIP of 4.43, having faced 195 big league hitters.
The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a team OBP of .308 and have a batting average of .234 this season. They have struck out 1,227 times (8th in the league) with 1,095 hits. The Pirates have hit 102 home runs and accumulated 497 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .353, and they average just 3.67 runs per game (30th in the league). With 211 doubles, Pittsburgh has also walked 463 times, bringing in a total of 517 runs.
Pittsburgh’s WHIP stands at 1.216, with a FIP of 3.89 for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (1,116 strikeouts versus 405 walks). They rank 7th in MLB for total hits allowed at 1,107. The pitching staff has given up 135 home runs, averaging 4.14 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB), while allowing a total of 572 runs with an ERA of 3.87 (535 earned runs).
This season, the Pirates have introduced their relief pitchers in 54 save situations, successfully converting 33, which ranks them 21st in MLB with a save rate of 61.1%. They have sent 438 relievers to the mound so far. Pittsburgh’s relief pitchers have entered high-leverage situations 134 times and faced runners on base 121 times. The bullpen has inherited 189 runners, with a scoring percentage of 37.0%. From 120 save opportunities, the Pirates have achieved 64 holds, with 21 blown saves.
The Pirates have executed 101 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in the league). They have accrued 1,171 assists and committed 67 errors while achieving 3,731 putouts this season. Over 11,193 innings, Pittsburgh’s defensive efficiency is 70.9% (5th in Major League Baseball).
Throughout his MLB career, Mlodzinski has allowed 159 hits while recording 155 strikeouts in 172 innings pitched. Mlodzinski, with an 11-15 career record, maintains a 3.40 ERA while yielding 8.3 hits per nine innings pitched. He has given up 65 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.278, and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.54 after facing 729 hitters in his professional career.
Who will come out on top in today’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Recommendation: Bet on Pittsburgh (+172)
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