Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Broadcast: Root Sports Northwest
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-275) Seattle (+220)
The Seattle Mariners (53-47) are set to challenge the Milwaukee Brewers (60-40) at T-Mobile Park this Wednesday. Milwaukee enters the matchup favored at -275, while Seattle is positioned at +220. The combined total runs for the game have been established at 8. Pitching duties are expected to fall on Quinn Priester and Luis Castillo.
The Brewers are currently hitting for a slugging percentage of .385 with 788 strikeouts and 340 walks this season. They have recorded 445 RBIs and amassed 839 hits, leading to a team batting average of .250. The team has successfully hit 144 doubles and 96 home runs, contributing to a total of 479 runs and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .325. Milwaukee averages 4.8 runs per game, placing them 7th in the league.
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This season, the Brewers’ pitching staff boasts a remarkable team ERA of 3.62 (6th in MLB) and has achieved 863 strikeouts. They have allowed 106 home runs and 388 total runs (5th in the league). Milwaukee pitchers have issued 328 walks, resulting in a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.93. The team has conceded 771 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 358 earned runs, maintaining a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and a collective WHIP of 1.24.
The Brewers’ relievers have a respectable save rate of 70.0%, having performed in 115 save opportunities. Out of the 137 inherited base runners, 32.1% have scored. The bullpen has entered the game with runners on base 92 times, correlating with 116 high leverage situations. A total of 346 relievers have been deployed this season, earning 73 holds (2nd in the league) and 28 saves, while encountering 12 blown save attempts.
In the field, the Brewers have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs over 8,004 innings, ranking them 9th in Major League Baseball. The team has documented 2,668 putouts, 795 assists, and 48 errors, with a fielding percentage of .986, ranking 16th in the league. Additionally, they have turned 69 double plays this season.
Quinn Priester has appeared in 193 career innings, striking out 149 batters. With a career record of 14-11, Priester possesses a FIP of 4.77, having faced 847 hitters throughout his MLB journey. His earned run average (ERA) stands at 4.84, allowing 104 earned runs, and his WHIP rests at 1.391. He has given up 196 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 73 walks.
The Seattle Mariners have launched 138 home runs this season alongside 449 RBIs. They have recorded 142 doubles, with 343 walks and 467 runs tallied. Seattle maintains a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .249. The Mariners’ slugging percentage (SLG) is .413, resulting in an average of 4.67 runs per game (8th in MLB). However, they have been struck out 886 times (4th in MLB), accumulating 855 hits.
Seattle’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.265 and a FIP of 4.09 this season. Currently, they are ranked 19th in the league for total hits allowed, having surrendered 838 hits and 443 runs with a team ERA of 3.94 (397 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.30, with 835 strikeouts and 311 walks. The Mariners have been hit by 116 home runs, allowing 4.39 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).
Having engaged in 91 save situations, the Mariners’ bullpen has secured 49 holds and encountered 19 blown saves. They have successfully saved 23 out of 42 save opportunities and have participated in 137 high leverage situations. Seattle’s relievers have been on the mound with 90 inherited base runners, leading to an inherited scoring rate of 28.9%. Positioned 26th in the league, their save percentage stands at 54.8%, with 335 relievers utilized this year.
The Mariners have executed 79 double plays this season, alongside a stellar fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). Their defensive metrics include 858 assists, 44 errors, and 2,724 putouts throughout 8,172 innings, with a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (11th in MLB).
Castillo, with a career record of 80-81, exhibits a 3.53 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.23, having faced 5,556 batters in his professional journey. He has allowed 527 earned runs, paired with a WHIP of 1.179 and a FIP of 3.5. In his MLB career, Castillo has surrendered 1,143 hits while striking out 1,431 over 1,345 innings pitched.
Which team will emerge victorious in this MLB showdown—against the spread or on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Milwaukee (-275)
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