Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction and Preview for 12/26/2025

Home » Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction and Preview for 12/26/2025

  • Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies
  • Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
  • Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
  • Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network

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The Milwaukee Bucks (12-18) are heading to FedExForum this Friday to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (14-16).

NBA Picks Santi Aldama Memphis Grizzlies Predictions Best Bets Odds

In their most recent outing, the Bucks secured a convincing victory over the Indiana Pacers, skying to a 111-94 win. Milwaukee recorded 26 personal fouls while Indiana was tagged with 21. The Bucks managed to sink 8 out of their 31 attempts from beyond the arc. Here’s a quick overview of Indiana’s performance: they shot 60.6% from the free throw line, hitting 20 out of 33 attempts, collected 40 rebounds (7 offensive, 33 defensive), and blocked 7 shots. On the assist front, they logged 20, along with 7 steals. Defensively, the Bucks held Indiana to 40.7% shooting from the floor, allowing the team to hit 33 of 81 attempts. Milwaukee also tallied 20 assists while forcing 12 turnovers and making 6 steals. Additionally, they secured 48 rebounds, including 7 offensive, and converted 17 of 24 free throws, leading to a success rate of 70.8%. Milwaukee finished the game with a field goal percentage of 51.2% (42 of 82) and a 3-point shooting rate of 33.3%, hitting 10 of 30 attempts.

Kevin Porter Jr. proved pivotal in the game, scoring 24 points on an efficient 8 of 13 shooting. He logged 38 minutes on the court and also pulled down 6 rebounds while dishing out 5 assists, ending the night with an impressive shooting percentage of 61.5%.

The Bucks, currently sitting at a 12-18 record for the season, average 113.0 points per game (25th in the league) with a field goal percentage of 48.7%. From three-point territory, they are connecting at 39.7%, making 446 of their 1,123 attempts, while also converting 72.5% from the free-throw line. On average, Milwaukee grabs 40.0 rebounds per outing, and their 795 assists rank them 11th in the NBA, but they also commit 15.1 turnovers and 21.7 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Bucks force 14.6 turnovers per matchup and average 19.0 fouls. Their opponents shoot 35.6% from beyond the arc, and they currently rank 15th in points allowed per game at 116.2. Milwaukee’s defense concedes 47.0% shooting (1,230 out of 2,619) and allows 44.6 rebounds per game, also ranking 19th in opponent assists, giving up 799 this season.

In their last game, the Grizzlies clinched a tight 137-128 victory over the Utah Jazz. They gathered a total of 41 rebounds (33 defensive, 8 offensive) and recorded 10 steals while committing 15 turnovers. The Jazz were penalized with 21 personal fouls, sending Memphis to the free-throw line 29 times, where they converted 20 attempts for a 69.0% rate. From beyond the three-point arc, the Grizzlies made 19 of 45 attempts (42.2%), while shooting 55.7% from the field overall with 49 successful field goals out of 88 tries. Utah managed to convert 40 out of 90 field goal attempts, amounting to a 44.4% shooting percentage. Memphis allowed the Jazz to sink 16 of 45 three-point attempts (35.6%) and finished the game making 32 out of 36 free throws for an excellent 88.9% success rate. On defense, Memphis permitted Utah to collect 40 rebounds.

Santi Aldama was instrumental for Memphis, scoring 37 points in 34 minutes and handing out 7 assists. He shot an impressive 61.9% from the field, hitting 13 of 21 attempts, alongside 5 rebounds.

This season, the Grizzlies have a record of 14-16. Offensively, they are shooting 45.4% from the floor, ranking 25th league-wide. Memphis has scored 3,451 points in total this year, averaging 115.0 points per game while grabbing 46.2 rebounds. They lead the league in assists at 29.2 per game and average 15.1 turnovers, all while committing 20.4 personal fouls and hitting 79.6% at the free-throw line.

On the defensive end, the Grizzlies rank 16th in points per game allowed, giving up 116.2. They force 14.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.7% from the field (13th in the league). Memphis so far has permitted opponents to shoot 36.6% from three-point land (439 of 1,199) and they allow a free-throw success rate of 77.5%. They yield 26.6 assists and 44.5 rebounds per game, placing them 14th and 16th, respectively.

Which team will triumph in tonight’s NBA showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Memphis

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Pick: Memphis Grizzlies
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