Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees
Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Betting Odds: Minnesota (+106) New York (-128)
On Monday, at Yankee Stadium, the New York Yankees (61-54) are set to face off against the Minnesota Twins (54-60). The current moneyline shows the Twins at +106 and the Yankees at -128, with an over/under total of 8.5 runs. The pitchers for this matchup will be Zebby Matthews for the Twins and Will Warren for the Yankees.
This season, the Minnesota Twins are averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking 21st in the league. They have amassed a total of 480 runs with an on-base percentage of .313. The team has recorded 180 doubles and hit 134 home runs, boasting 458 RBIs and 919 hits, coupled with a batting average of .241. Their slugging percentage stands at .401, although they have struck out 939 times while drawing 339 walks.
Throughout the season, the Twins have posted a team ERA of 4.28, placing them 23rd in the league. The pitching staff has compiled 966 strikeouts, while allowing 130 home runs and 509 runs overall (19th in MLB). With 292 walks, their FIP stands at 3.89. They’ve surrendered 980 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) resulting in 476 earned runs and maintain a K/BB ratio of 3.31, with a collective WHIP of 1.27.
The Twins’ bullpen has recorded a save percentage of 57.9% in 116 opportunities, inheriting 113 runners this season with a 35.4% scoring rate. They’ve come into high-pressure situations 137 times, with 392 relief appearances overall. The relief corps has tallied 76 holds this season, ranking 6th in MLB, converting 22 saves out of 38 chances.
This season, fielding has been solid for the Twins, compiling 3,000 putouts, 840 assists, and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is .987, putting them 13th in MLB, and they have completed 61 double plays. The team converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs across 9,000 defensive innings, which ranks them 27th in pro baseball.
Zebby Matthews, with a career record of 4-7, boasts a FIP of 5.89, having faced 343 hitters. He has yielded 94 hits (11.2 hits per 9 innings) and issued 21 walks. His ERA stands at 5.98 (50 earned runs), and his career WHIP is 1.527, accumulating 91 strikeouts over 75 innings pitched.
The New York Yankees, this year, have achieved an on-base percentage of .329 and a .250 batting average. They have struck out 1,007 times (7th in MLB) and collected 976 hits, along with 182 home runs and 563 RBIs. The team records a slugging percentage of .447, averaging 5.10 runs per game (3rd in the league). The Yankees have also earned 189 doubles and drawn 434 walks while scoring 587 runs in total.
The New York pitching squad has allowed 499 runs this season, bring their ERA to 4.05 (457 earned runs). They have given up 129 home runs while permitting 4.42 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Yankees hold a WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 4.05, with a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,019 strikeouts versus 402 walks), ranking 5th in the league for total hits allowed with 882.
New York’s relievers have an inherited runners score rate of 26.6% out of 188 opportunities. In high leverage situations, their bullpen has appeared 117 times and faced runners on base 126 times. This season, they’ve participated in 115 save opportunities, making 67 holds and recording 16 blown saves. They stand 9th in save percentage at 66.0%, having utilized 383 pitchers to date. The bullpen has converted 31 saves in 47 situations.
Defensively, the Yankees have turned 75 double plays this season and maintain a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in MLB). With 974 assists, 63 errors, and 3,050 putouts, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.8% across 9,150 innings, ranking 10th in professional baseball.
In his professional career, Will Warren has allowed 143 hits while amassing 162 strikeouts over 137 innings. Sporting a career record of 6-8, he posts a 5.44 ERA while yielding 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 83 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.507 and a FIP of 5.4, with a K/BB ratio of 2.53 against 619 batters faced.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Selection: Opt for Minnesota (+106)
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