Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Broadcast: Sportsnet
Betting Odds: Minnesota (+126) Toronto (-152)
The Toronto Blue Jays (77-55) will face off against the Minnesota Twins (59-72) at Rogers Centre this Wednesday. Current betting odds show Minnesota at +126 and Toronto favored at -152, with a total set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Zebby Matthews and Eric Lauer.
This season, the Twins have recorded 202 doubles and hit 152 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .394, they have struck out 1,086 times, while drawing 395 walks. Minnesota is scoring an average of 4.1 runs per game, ranking 23rd in the league. They have amassed 516 RBIs and 1,037 hits, with a team batting average of .237, and a total of 541 runs scored, alongside an on-base percentage of .309.
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The Twins feature a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and their pitchers have a combined WHIP of 1.30. This season, they’ve allowed 153 home runs and 604 runs (22nd in the league). Minnesota has given up 1,135 hits (averaging 8.9 per 9 innings) alongside 563 earned runs. Their current team ERA stands at 4.39, placing them 23rd in the Majors, while striking out 1,097 batters. The pitching staff has issued 363 walks, with a FIP of 4.03 so far this season.
This year, the Twins have used 445 relief pitchers, with their bullpen inheriting 141 base runners; 34.8% of these runners eventually scored. The Twins have registered 24 saves but have blown 18 of their 42 save attempts, resulting in a 57.1% save percentage from 122 save opportunities. Their relief unit has tallied 78 holds this season, ranking 9th in MLB. The bullpen has faced runners on base 98 times, including 151 high-leverage situations.
The Twins’ defense has made 3,459 putouts, 975 assists, and 60 errors this season, boasting a fielding percentage of .987, which ranks them 14th in baseball. This season, they have converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs, ranking 27th in MLB.
Matthews has pitched 89 innings, accumulating 110 strikeouts throughout his career. His ERA is 5.94 (allowing 59 earned runs), and he holds a WHIP of 1.588, permitting 113 hits (11.4 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 29 walks. With a 4-8 career win-loss record, Matthews has faced a total of 412 batters in his major league career.
The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .427 and are averaging 4.92 runs per game, positioning them 7th in MLB. They have recorded 238 doubles and 156 home runs, walking 434 times, and scoring a total of 650 runs. Toronto has struck out 884 times (30th in MLB) and accumulated 1,202 hits, with a team on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .267 this season.
On the pitching side, the Blue Jays have given up 589 runs, holding a team ERA of 4.19 (545 of those being earned runs). They’ve allowed 175 homers and yield 4.53 runs per 9 innings, sitting 19th in the league. Toronto has a collective WHIP of 1.259 and a FIP of 4.31 this season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (1,169 strikeouts to 421 walks), and they rank 10th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,053.
When it comes to their bullpen, Blue Jays relievers have an inherited scoring percentage of 29.1% among their 196 inherited runners. They have appeared 133 times in high-leverage scenarios and 136 times with runners on base. With 139 save opportunities, Toronto has recorded 78 holds alongside 21 blown saves, currently boasting a save percentage of 63.8% (13th in MLB). This season, 454 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Toronto.
The Blue Jays have achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.4% over their 10,545 innings played (10th in MLB). They have made 93 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in baseball), recording 989 assists, 73 errors, and 3,515 putouts throughout the season.
Lauer, holding a 44-39 career record, boasts a 4.10 ERA and gives up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.56 and has faced 2,932 hitters in his professional career. Lauer has conceded 312 earned runs and has recorded a WHIP of 1.330, alongside a FIP of 4.0. Throughout his career, he has surrendered 655 hits and achieved 654 strikeouts over 684 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or on the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Minnesota (+126)
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