- Matchup: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Florida Gators
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Venue: Stephen C. O’Connell Center, Gainesville, FL
- Broadcast: SEC Network
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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-15) are set to face off against the Florida Gators (22-6) at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center this Tuesday.
In their most recent game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs fell to Missouri, concluding with a score of 88-64. The Bulldogs showcased a field goal percentage of 49.1%, hitting 26 of their 53 shots, but only managed to convert 5 of their 19 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, Mississippi State was 7 for 13, translating to a 53.8% success rate. On the boards, they collected 22 rebounds, of which 6 were offensive. They also recorded 9 assists, forced 12 turnovers, and achieved 9 steals. Defensively, they allowed their opponents to shoot 50.8% from the floor, with Missouri making 30 out of 59 shots. The Tigers recorded 12 assists and 9 steals and grabbed a total of 34 rebounds (11 offensive, 23 defensive). Missouri excelled at the charity stripe, converting 20 of 24 attempts for 83.3% while going 8 for 20 from three-point territory. The Bulldogs accumulated 14 personal fouls, slightly edging out Missouri’s 13.
Josh Hubbard stood out in this contest, scoring 16 points on 6 of 14 shooting in 34 minutes of play. He also contributed 2 rebounds and 2 assists, finishing with a field goal percentage of 42.9%.
For the season, Mississippi State has a record of 13-15. They average 78.2 points per game (132nd in NCAA basketball), shooting at 44.6% from the field. The Bulldogs are hitting 32.5% of their three-point shots (233 of 718) and 67.0% from the free-throw line. They pull down an average of 39.3 rebounds per game and have registered 361 assists this season, ranking 283rd nationally. Ball security has been an issue, as they commit 11.2 turnovers per game and average 16.3 personal fouls.
On defense, Mississippi State has been forcing an average of 9.3 turnovers per game while allowing 17.0 personal fouls. They rank 245th in college basketball for assists relinquished to opponents, with a total of 407 this year. The Bulldogs allow an opponent shooting percentage of 43.4% (785 of 1,807), and they average giving up 38.3 rebounds per game. Opponents are shooting 32.6% from three-point range against them, and Mississippi State ranks 329th in the nation for points allowed per game at 80.0.
In their last game, the Florida Gators enjoyed a decisive victory over Arkansas, winning 111-77. The Gators dominated on the boards, collecting 33 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive rebounds to finish with 48 total. They turned the ball over 12 times and managed to secure 3 steals during the matchup. Arkansas committed 24 personal fouls, leading the Gators to the free-throw line for 32 attempts, of which they made 25 (78.1%). Florida shot 8 of 19 on three-pointers (42.1%) and finished the game making 39 of 69 field goal attempts (56.5%). Arkansas managed to shoot 30 of 75 from the field for a 40.0% shooting percentage. The Gators allowed Arkansas to convert 30.8% from deep (4 of 13) and shot 54.2% from the free-throw line (13 of 24), granting Arkansas a total of 27 rebounds (11 offensive).
Thomas Haugh played a critical role for the Gators, scoring 22 points in 29 minutes of play. He made 7 of 12 attempts, resulting in a shooting percentage of 58.3%, and contributed 5 rebounds along with 2 assists.
Florida has tallied a record of 22-6 this season. They average 17.7 personal fouls per game and shoot at 71.1% from the free-throw line. The Gators assist their teammates 16.5 times per game (45th in Division 1) and average 12.0 turnovers per game. This season, Florida has accumulated 2,416 points (86.3 per game) while securing 45.2 rebounds per contest. They are shooting 47.6% from the field, placing them 49th nationally.
Defensively, Florida ranks 105th nationwide for points allowed per game with an average of 71.2. They force opponents into 11.3 turnovers each game and have permitted teams to shoot 40.5% from the field (27th in NCAA basketball). The Gators concede 32.1% on three-point shots (185 of 577), and allow their adversaries to convert 72.7% of their free-throw attempts. They average yielding 10.6 assists and 31.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking 11th and 24th in college basketball, respectively.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Back Mississippi State
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