- Matchup: Missouri State Bears vs MTSU Blue Raiders
- Event Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025
- Venue: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
- Broadcast: ESPN2
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Blue Raiders (+2.5)
- Total Points/Over-Under: 51.5
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The MTSU Blue Raiders (1-4) aim to secure a victory against the Missouri State Bears (2-3) at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium on October 8, 2025. Las Vegas oddsmakers have installed MTSU as 2.5-point underdogs, with a betting total set at 51.5 points.
This season, the Missouri State Bears hold a record of 2-3. In their previous game, they faced off against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers but suffered a narrow defeat, ending 27-22. Defensively, the Bears struggled against the run, conceding 159 yards on 29 attempts, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. In the passing game, they allowed 26 completions on 39 attempts for 317 yards, achieving a completion rate of 66.7%. Overall, they executed 66 plays for a total of 414 yards. On the ground, the Bears ran 34 times and gained 214 yards, averaging 6.3 yards per carry.

This season, the Bears have accumulated 1,857 total yards. In terms of reaching the end zone, they have scored 9 touchdowns through the air and 4 on the ground while turning the ball over 8 times. Missouri State has achieved 91 first downs and has incurred 40 penalties totaling 379 yards. Averaging 109.6 rushing yards per game, they rank 117th nationally. As for scoring, the Bears average 21.6 points per game.
Defensively, they rank 119th in the nation, allowing an average of 31.6 points per game. Opponents are rushing for an average of 5.4 yards per attempt, totaling 164.2 rushing yards per game, which equates to 821 yards surrendered over five games. In the aerial game, the Bears have allowed 1,195 passing yards, ranking them 78th in D-1, giving up 239.0 yards per game with a completion percentage of 69.6%. Overall, their defense yields 403.2 yards per outing, placing them 113th in the country, granting 5 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns.
The Blue Raiders, currently 1-4 this season, suffered a loss last time out, falling 24-16 to the Kennesaw State Owls. In that game, MTSU amassed 460 yards over 79 plays, averaging 5.8 yards per play. They ran for 155 yards on 37 attempts, averaging 4.2 yards per carry, while their defense allowed 31 rushing attempts for 157 yards (5.1 yards per carry). The Blue Raiders’ pass defense allowed a completion rate of 65.0%, giving up 177 yards on 13 of 20 passing attempts.
In terms of scoring, the Blue Raiders rank 129th nationwide, averaging 16.4 points per game. They total approximately 315.8 yards per game, placing them 121st nationally. MTSU has accumulated 301 yards in penalties over 34 infractions, which ranks 63rd for aiding opponents. They have thrown 4 interceptions and lost 1 fumble, accumulating 88 first downs. This season, the Blue Raiders have achieved 1,168 passing yards, averaging 233.6 passing yards per game, ranked 65th nationally, while rushing for an average of 82.2 yards per game with a total of 411 rushing yards.
MTSU’s defense has allowed 850 rushing yards (170.0 yards per game), giving up 7 rushing touchdowns this season. In the passing game, they have conceded 13 touchdowns and 216.0 yards per game, placing them 64th nationally. They have surrendered 155 total points this year, with 3 fumble recoveries and 3 interceptions. The Blue Raiders’ defense has participated in 314 plays, ranking them 36th overall in college football. They allow 31.0 points per game, positioning them 115th in the nation.
Who will emerge victorious in this Bears/Blue Raiders college football matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Select the Bears -2.5
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