- Matchup: Montana State Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Venue: Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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This Thursday, the Montana State Bobcats (13-8) are heading to Hornet Pavilion, aiming to take down the Sacramento State Hornets (6-13).
The Bobcats recently triumphed over Weber State with a close score of 91-88. They showcased an impressive 51.7% shooting from the field, with 30 successful shots out of 58 attempts and made 12 out of 29 three-point shots. From the free-throw line, they converted 19 of 21 attempts, resulting in an outstanding 90.5% success rate. On the boards, Montana State gathered 30 rebounds, including 9 offensive grabs, and tallied 10 assists while forcing 7 turnovers and stealing the ball 4 times. Defensively, they allowed Weber State to shoot 51.7% from the field, giving up 31 baskets out of 60. Weber State also recorded 13 assists and 7 steals but managed only 22 rebounds, with none being offensive. They had a free throw success rate of 78.9%, making 15 of 19 attempts, and scored 11 out of 19 from beyond the arc. The foul count was 17 for the Bobcats compared to 18 for Weber State.
Jed Miller was a standout performer in the game, shooting 64.3% from the field and contributing 3 assists in his 33 minutes of play. He grabbed 5 rebounds and scored 27 points on 9-of-14 shooting.
This season, Montana State boasts a record of 13-8, averaging 79.1 points per game, ranking 127th in Division 1. They have a shooting percentage of 47.2% and are hitting 36.8% of their three-point attempts (210 of 571), with a free throw percentage of 75.7%. As a unit, the Bobcats secure 34.0 rebounds per game and have recorded 244 assists this season, placing them 317th nationally in assists. They commit an average of 10.4 turnovers and 16.7 fouls per game.
Defensively, the Bobcats force their opponents into 11.5 turnovers per game while receiving 16.9 personal fouls. They rank 56th nationally in assists allowed, giving up 235 for the season. Their defense allows a shooting percentage of 43.9% (535 of 1,220) while allowing 32.6 rebounds per game, and they rank 106th in Division 1 for points allowed per game (70.7).
In their previous matchup, the Sacramento State Hornets lost 75-67 to Eastern Washington. The Hornets secured 18 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards, accumulating a total of 22 rebounds. They turned the ball over 10 times while gaining 4 steals during the game. Eastern Washington committed 20 fouls, resulting in 28 free throw attempts for Sacramento State, of which they made 24 (85.7%). In terms of three-point shooting, the Hornets converted 5 out of 17 attempts (29.4%). Overall, they finished the game shooting 19 for 44 from the field, good for 43.2%. Conversely, Eastern Washington achieved 26 out of 57 shots from the floor, resulting in a shooting percentage of 45.6%. They went 33.3% from three (8 of 24) and were successful on 15 of 18 free throw attempts (83.3%). Sacramento State allowed Eastern Washington to tally 30 rebounds in total, with 10 being offensive.
Mark Lavrenov contributed significantly for the Hornets, scoring 26 points within 31 minutes and adding 1 assist. He shot 75.0% from the field, making 6 of 8 attempts, and collected 2 rebounds.
This season, Sacramento State holds a record of 6-13. The Hornets average 18.9 personal fouls per game and shoot 77.6% from the free throw line. Their teammates record only 13.0 assists per game (260th nationally) and turn the ball over 11.3 times per game. So far, they have scored a total of 1,473 points (averaging 77.5 points per game) and grab 36.5 rebounds per contest. However, the Hornets rank 341st in the country with a field goal percentage of 40.8%.
Defensively, Sacramento State ranks 343rd in Division 1, allowing 82.2 points per game. They force 12.1 turnovers nightly while allowing opponents to shoot 45.8% from the floor (ranked 285th nationally). They give up 33.8% from three-point range (167 of 494) and allow 74.0% of free throws to be converted. The Hornets’ defense yields 17.3 assists and 39.6 rebounds per game, placing them 355th and 356th in those categories, respectively.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Montana State
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