Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Preview, 1/17/2026 NHL Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Preview, 1/17/2026 NHL Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
  • Broadcast: TSN5

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The Ottawa Senators (22-19-5) are set to host the Montreal Canadiens (26-14-7) at the Canadian Tire Centre this Saturday.

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In their last game, the Montreal Canadiens fell short against the Capitals, losing 3-2. They logged a total of 25 penalty minutes during that match and struggled offensively, failing to score on four power play opportunities. The Canadiens managed to get just 2 out of 26 shots to find the back of the net.

This season, the Montreal Canadiens have accumulated 157 goals, ranking 5th in the league, while conceding 150. They currently hold 59 points with a points percentage of .628, benefiting from 134 power play opportunities, where they have scored 30 goals, translating to a power play efficiency of 22.39%. Even at even strength, they have given up 119 goals while scoring 127. The Canadiens have attempted 1,230 shots with a shooting percentage of 12.8%, and they’ve faced 1,278 shots against them, resulting in a save percentage of .883. Furthermore, their opponents have had 153 power play chances (3rd overall) and converted 31 into goals.

Starting in goal for the Canadiens is Jacob Fowler. In his professional career, Fowler has allowed 22 goals, sporting a goals against average of 2.44 across 9 appearances. He has a save percentage of .908, boasting a record of 4-3-2. Out of his 9 starts, he has produced 5 quality starts, yielding a quality starts percentage of .556. Fowler has faced 238 shots, successfully saving 216 of them.

Meanwhile, the Ottawa Senators recently triumphed over the Rangers with a scoreline of 8-4. They capitalized on 1 out of 3 power play chances during that game, scoring 8 goals from 30 shots.

On the season, the Senators have netted 113 goals at even strength and achieved 35 on the power play (currently 6th in the NHL). They have taken 1,311 shots (ranking 13th in the league), with a shooting percentage of 11.29%, while allowing 1,159 shots against. Overall, the Senators have scored 148 goals and accumulated 49 points, yielding a points percentage of .533. They have allowed 153 goals, with 116 allowed at even strength and 37 during penalty kills. Ottawa has executed 154 power play opportunities, achieving a power play percentage of 22.73%, while their penalty kill stands at 72.39% against 134 chances by opponents, with an overall save percentage of 86.8%.

Leevi Merilainen will start in goal for the Senators. Opponents have averaged 2.77 goals per game against him, and he has allowed a total of 86 goals. His quality starts percentage is 41.9%, having qualified for 13 quality starts throughout his career. Merilainen has entered 31 games, accumulating 785 minutes of play, with a career record of 16-14-2 across 33 games. He has successfully saved 696 out of 782 shots he faced, yielding a save percentage of .890.

Who will emerge victorious in this NHL clash, covering the spread or securing a moneyline win?

Prediction: Back Ottawa

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Pick: Ottawa Senators
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