Matchup: Nashville SC vs Orlando City SC
Scheduled Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
Venue: GEODIS Park, Nashville, TN
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass
Nashville SC (14-5-8) is set to face off against Orlando City SC (13-8-6) at GEODIS Park in Nashville, TN on Saturday. Nashville is favored at -145, while Orlando is listed at +125. The over/under for this matchup is set at 3 goals. The starting goalkeepers for this encounter will be Joe Willis for Nashville and Pedro Gallese for Orlando.
Nashville SC currently ranks 3rd in expected goals with a tally of 46.8, while their expected goals against stands at 31.5. The squad has conceded 31 goals, averaging 1.15 goals against per 90 minutes, with opponents firing 101 shots on target. The team’s goal differential sits at +13, having scored 44 goals while allowing 31. They have achieved 9 clean sheets this season, translating to a clean sheet rate of 33.3%. Additionally, Nashville SC has made 69 saves, boasting a save percentage of 69.3%. With 46 yellow cards and 1 red card this season, the team averages 1.74 points per match, accumulating 47 points and placing 11th in MLS with 30 assists.
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Orlando City SC maintains an average of 1.7 points per game, compiling 40 assists and receiving 3 red cards. Their clean sheet percentage this season stands at 29.6%, alongside 56 yellow cards. Currently positioned 12th in goals conceded with 35, Orlando has a goal differential of +18. The team has a save percentage of 69.0%, facing 113 shots on target, and ranks 4th in MLS with 47 points. Currently, their goals against per 90 minutes is 1.30, with 79 saves recorded and 8 clean sheets achieved. Orlando City SC has scored a total of 53 goals this season, with an expected goal total of 48.7.
Joe Willis will guard the net for Nashville SC. In his career, Willis has played 26,035 minutes and has made 872 saves. The American goalkeeper has faced 1,256 shots across 287 matches, allowing 1.33 goals per 90 minutes (386 goals conceded) and maintaining a save percentage of 69.4%. With a career record of 101 wins, 81 losses, and 107 draws, he has secured 76 clean sheets, resulting in a shutout rate of 26.3%.
For Orlando City SC, Pedro Gallese will handle the goalkeeping duties. Throughout his career, Gallese has conceded 202 goals while recording 411 saves in 157 starts. He averages 1.29 goals allowed per 90 minutes, with a career record of 73 wins, 40 losses, and 44 draws. His save percentage is 66.9%, and he has a shutout rate of 28.7%. Gallese has achieved 45 clean sheets while facing 614 shots over 14,130 minutes in his career.
One player to watch for Nashville SC is Sam Surridge, who has started 59 matches in his professional career, averaging 0.55 goals per 90 minutes. This English forward has scored 32 goals in 5,204 minutes of play, along with 5 assists for a total of 69 career points.
Orlando City SC’s attack is spearheaded by Martin Ojeda, who poses challenges for opposing defenses. He averages 0.37 goals per 90 minutes and has started 64 matches so far in his career. The Argentine midfielder has played 5,802 minutes, scoring 24 goals and contributing 25 assists for a total of 73 career points.
Who will prevail in today’s soccer match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Orlando City SC (-145)
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