Match: Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
Venue: GEODIS Park, Nashville, TN
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass
Nashville SC (13-5-5) is set to face Toronto FC (5-6-11) at GEODIS Park in Nashville on Saturday. Nashville is favored at -210, while Toronto stands at +172. The over/under for this matchup is set at 3 goals. The anticipated goalkeepers are Joe Willis for Nashville and Sean Johnson for Toronto.
Nashville Soccer Club ranks 2nd in expected goals with 40.8, and their expected goals against (xGA) stands at 26.4. This season, Nashville has conceded 25 goals, averaging 1.09 goals allowed per 90 minutes, while facing 88 shots on target. Their goal differential is +16, thanks to 41 goals scored against 25 conceded. They have recorded 8 shutouts, achieving a 34.8% clean sheet rate. Nashville SC has made 63 saves for a save percentage of 71.6% this season. The club has amassed 37 yellow cards and 1 red card so far. With an average of 1.91 points per game (44 points), they currently sit 8th in MLS, having registered 29 assists.
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Toronto FC averages 1.0 points per match with 14 assists. They have recorded a shutout rate of 27.3% and registered 42 yellow cards. Toronto is 9th in goals conceded with 29, holding a goal differential of -4. This season, Toronto boasts a save percentage of 72.1% (104 shots on target against). They rank 25th in MLS with 21 points. Their goals against per 90 minutes is 1.32, with 75 saves and 6 shutouts. They have netted 25 goals, while their expected goals total is at 21.5.
Joe Willis is Nashville’s goalkeeper, having played for 25,675 minutes and made 866 saves in his career. He has an goals allowed per 90 minutes rate of 1.33, totaling 380 goals allowed, and a save percentage of 69.7%. The American keeper has faced 1,243 shots in 283 matches, with a career record of 100-81-104, achieving 75 shutouts and a clean sheet percentage of 26.3%.
Sean Johnson will guard the goal for Toronto FC. Over his career, he has conceded 558 goals and recorded 1,269 saves in 422 games. Johnson allows 1.32 goals per 90 minutes with a record of 158-120-144. His career save percentage stands at 69.6%, with a clean sheet rate of 25.6%. He has achieved 108 shutouts while facing 1,824 shots in 37,956 minutes played.
For Nashville, Sam Surridge is a key player to watch. With 55 starts in his career, he averages 0.57 goals per 90 minutes and has tallied 31 goals in 4,880 professional minutes. He has also contributed 5 assists, accumulating 67 career points.
Toronto features Ola Brynhildsen, a forward who can make a significant impact. The Norwegian has played 1,060 professional minutes, scoring 2 goals while averaging 0.17 goals per 90 minutes. He has started in 14 matches during his professional career and has accumulated 5 points, providing 1 assist along the way.
Who will secure the victory in tonight’s soccer match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn’s Recommendation: Back Toronto FC (-210)
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